Wednesday, May 4, 2016

Marlins Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Rubby De La Rosa vs. Jose Fernandez

The Arizona Diamondbacks visit Marlins Park on Wednesday to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Rubby De La Rosa for the Diamondbacks and Jose Fernandez for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Arizona at +165 and Miami at -175. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Diamondbacks have a 14-12-1 over/under record and a 11-16-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 41% of the time. The Marlins are 13-11-0 against the run line and have a 15-9-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.

The Diamondbacks head into this matchup with a 12-15 record, including 7-3 on the road. Starting pitcher Rubby De La Rosa has a 3-3 record with an earned run average of 4.18 and a WHIP of 1.10. He has 28 strikeouts over his 23.2 innings pitched and he has given up 18 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.88. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.98 and they have given up 103 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen while being struck out 93 times and walking 43 times this season. As a team, Arizona has allowed 9.37 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.62 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.94. The Diamondbacks pitchers have collectively given up 262 base hits and 138 earned runs. They have allowed 32 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Arizona as a pitching staff has walked 106 batters and struck out 213. They walk 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 4.45.

As a team, Arizona is batting .262, good for 9th in the league while putting together a .254 average away from home. The Diamondbacks hold a .457 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.3 hits per game. Paul Goldschmidt comes into this game hitting .239 and his on-base percentage is at .424. He has 21 hits this season along with 13 runs scored and 16 runs batted in. He's struck out 27 times and has walked 27 times. Yasmany Tomas is hitting .286 and he has an on-base percentage of .340. He has totaled 26 hits so far while scoring 16 runs and he's driven in 13. He has walked 8 times and has struck out 19 times. The Diamondbacks have 251 hits, including 50 doubles and 38 home runs. They've stolen 18 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 5 times. Arizona has walked 79 times this season and they've struck out 215 times as a unit. They've left 185 men on base and have a team OPS of .779. They score 4.56 runs per contest and have scored a total of 123 runs so far this year.

Miami comes into this matchup with a 2-7 home record and a 12-12 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.08, Jose Fernandez has a 2-2 record and a 1.29 WHIP. He has 40 strikeouts over the 28.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 23 hits. He has allowed 7.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.31. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.72 and they have given up 82 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 75 times and walking 35 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.54 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.07 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.37. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 203 base knocks and 104 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 19 home runs this year and they give up 0.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 97 hitters and struck out 192. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.40 while their FIP as a staff is 3.91.

As a team, they are batting .277, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .248 average at home. The Marlins hold a .421 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.71 hits per contest. Giancarlo Stanton comes into this matchup batting .253 and he has an OBP of .364. He has 21 hits this year along with 12 runs scored and 20 RBI. He's struck out 30 times and has walked on 14 occasions. Christian Yelich is hitting .341 and he has an OBP of .466. He has collected 28 hits so far while he's scored 13 runs and drove in 9. He has earned a walk 18 times and has punched out 17 times. The Marlins as a unit have 233 base hits, including 41 doubles and 22 homers. They have 10 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 5 times. Miami as a team has walked 74 times this year and they have struck out 184 times. They've had 188 men left on base and have an OPS of .759. They score 4.04 runs per game and have totaled 97 runs so far this season.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 14-12-1 against the over/under so far this season

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 11-16-0 against the run line so far this season

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 15-9-0 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 13-11-0 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Arizona Diamondbacks

05/03/16 SS Jean Segura Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Tuesday vs. Miami Marlins
04/04/16 P Josh Collment Shoulder 15-day DL (3/28)
04/02/16 CF A.J. Pollock Elbow 60-day DL (4/2)

Miami Marlins

04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/20/16 P Edwin Jackson Tricep 15-day DL (4/18)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm 15-day DL (3/25)

Guy's Pick: Take the Diamondbacks

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