Sunday, October 4, 2015

Citi Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Tanner Roark (4-7) vs. Jacob deGrom (14-8)

The Washington Nationals take on the New York Mets on Sunday at Citi Field. The probable starters are Tanner Roark for the Nationals and Jacob deGrom for the Mets. The opening line for this matchup has Washington at +118 and New York at -128. The over/under was set at 6.5. The Nationals have a 83-68 over/under record and a 68-91 run line mark, meaning they cover 43% of the time. The Mets have a 84-69 over/under record and a 83-75 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 52% of the time.

The Nationals show up with a 81-78 record, including 35-43 on the road. Tanner Roark has an earned run average of 4.63 and is 4-7 so far on the season while having a 1.34 WHIP. He's pitched 105 innings thus far while surrendering 116 hits over that time and when he starts, the Nationals are 4-7. The Nationals are also 7-4 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates are averaging 4.6 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 3.45 and they've given up 429 hits on the season. Opposing teams are hitting .240 against the Nationals bullpen while walking 141 times and striking out 420 times. Washington is averaging 8.34 strikeouts per game while getting 8.66 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 7th in baseball in team earned run average at 3.67.

Washington ranks 13th in the league in team batting average at .253 while hitting .250 on the road. Ranked at 10th in the league in on-base percentage, the Nationals sit at .323 and they hold a .405 team slugging percentage. Bryce Harper leads the team in hits with 170 while the team ranks 20th in baseball with 8.5 hits per game.

New York is 48-30 at home while holding a 89-70 overall record on the season. Jacob deGrom is starting this game 14-8 for the season with an earned run average of 2.60 and a WHIP of 0.99. He's pitched 187 innings thus far while surrendering 149 hits over that time in which the Mets are 19-10. The Mets are also 16-12 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates score an average of 4.5 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 3.52 and they have given up 395 hits on the season. Opposing teams are hitting .232 against the Mets bullpen while walking 170 times and striking out 432 times. New York is averaging 8.11 strikeouts per game while getting 8.34 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.49.

They rank 27th in the league in team batting average with a .246 average while hitting .237 at home. Ranked at 19th in the league in on-base percentage, the Mets sit at .314 and they hold a .403 team slugging percentage. Curtis Granderson leads the team in hits with 147 while the team ranks 22nd in baseball with 8.43 hits a game.

The Nationals have committed 88 errors and have combined for 1,513 assists and 4,226 put outs leading to a .985 team fielding percentage. The Mets have committed 87 errors on the season with 1,574 assists and 4,307 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .985 on the year.

Washington Nationals Betting Trends

The Washington Nationals are 83-68 against the over/under so far this season

The Washington Nationals are 68-91 against the run line so far this season

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 84-69 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 83-75 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Washington Nationals

10/03/15 RF Bryce Harper Leg expected to miss Game 2 Saturday vs. New York Mets
09/28/15 P Jonathan Papelbon Suspension out for season
09/22/15 2B Danny Espinosa Hamstring out for season
09/15/15 1B Ryan Zimmerman Oblique out for season
09/12/15 P Drew Storen Thumb out for season
08/28/15 CF Denard Span Hip Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (8/27); out for season
08/10/15 P Aaron Barrett Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (8/9)
04/15/15 P Craig Stammen Forearm Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/14)
04/06/15 LF Nate McLouth Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season

New York Mets

10/03/15 SS Wilmer Flores Strep Throat "?" Game #2 Saturday vs. Washington Nationals
10/02/15 P Steven Matz Back out indefinitely
09/26/15 3B Juan Uribe Chest out indefinitely
08/05/15 P Rafael Montero Rotator Cuff Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/30)
07/29/15 P Jenrry Mejia Suspension out for season
06/04/15 RF Cesar Puello Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
05/14/15 P Buddy Carlyle Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/12)
04/06/15 P Joshua Edgin Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season
04/06/15 P Zack Wheeler Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Nationals

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