Saturday, October 3, 2015

Citi Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Max Scherzer (13-12) vs. Matt Harvey (13-7)

The Washington Nationals visit Citi Field on Saturday to play the New York Mets. The Nationals send Max Scherzer to the mound to face Matt Harvey of the Mets. The opening line for this matchup has Washington at +118 and New York at -128. The over/under was set at 6.5. The Nationals have a 83-68 over/under record and a 68-91 run line mark, meaning they cover 43% of the time. The Mets are 83-75 against the run line and have a 84-69 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.

The Nationals head into this matchup with a 81-78 record, including 35-43 on the road. Max Scherzer has a 13-12 record on the season, an earned run average of 2.91 and a 0.96 WHIP. In his starts, the Nationals are 17-15 over his 219.2 innings pitched this season while giving up 176 hits during those innings. Against the over/under, the Nationals are 11-17 in his starts. The team is averaging 3.6 runs when he starts. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.46 and they have given up 427 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .240 against the Nationals bullpen while walking 140 times and striking out 414 times. Washington is averaging 8.34 strikeouts per game while getting 8.66 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 7th in baseball in team earned run average at 3.67.

Washington is batting .253 as a team, which is good for 14th in the league and hitting .250 away from home. The Nationals hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 10th in baseball. Bryce Harper leads the team in hits with 170 while the team ranks 20th in baseball with 8.5 hits per game.

With a 48-30 home record, New York will hope to improve on their 89-70 overall mark. Matt Harvey has a record of 13-7 while sporting an earned run average of 2.80 on the year with a 1.03 WHIP. In his starts, the Mets are 17-11 and he has allowed 152 hits over 183.1 innings pitched this season. Against the over/under, the Mets are 17-11 when he starts. The team is averaging 4.6 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.50 and they have given up 393 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .231 against the Mets bullpen while walking 168 times and striking out 431 times. New York is averaging 8.11 strikeouts per game while getting 8.34 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.49.

They are batting .246 as a team, which is good for 27th in the league and hitting .237 at home. The Mets hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314 which is good for 18th in baseball. Curtis Granderson leads the team in hits with 147 while the team ranks 22nd in baseball with 8.43 hits a game.

Washington has a team fielding percentage of .985 after having committed 88 errors with 1,513 assists and 4,226 put outs for the season. The Mets have committed 87 errors on the season with 1,574 assists and 4,307 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .985 on the year.

Washington Nationals Betting Trends

The Washington Nationals are 83-68 against the over/under so far this season

The Washington Nationals are 68-91 against the run line so far this season

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 84-69 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 83-75 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Washington Nationals

09/28/15 P Jonathan Papelbon Suspension out for season
09/22/15 2B Danny Espinosa Hamstring out for season
09/15/15 1B Ryan Zimmerman Oblique out for season
09/12/15 P Drew Storen Thumb out for season
08/28/15 CF Denard Span Hip Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (8/27); out for season
08/10/15 P Aaron Barrett Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (8/9)
04/15/15 P Craig Stammen Forearm Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/14)
04/06/15 LF Nate McLouth Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season

New York Mets

10/02/15 CF Yoenis Cespedes Hand is downgraded to not expected to be in the starting lineup Friday vs. Washington Nationals
10/02/15 2B Daniel Murphy Foot "?" Friday vs. Washington Nationals
10/01/15 SS Wilmer Flores Back doubtful Friday vs. Washington Nationals
09/26/15 3B Juan Uribe Chest out indefinitely
08/05/15 P Rafael Montero Rotator Cuff Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/30)
07/29/15 P Jenrry Mejia Suspension out for season
06/04/15 RF Cesar Puello Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
05/14/15 P Buddy Carlyle Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/12)
04/06/15 P Joshua Edgin Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season
04/06/15 P Zack Wheeler Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Nationals

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