Wednesday, September 9, 2015

Fenway Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Drew Hutchison (13-3) vs. Joe Kelly (9-6)

The Boston Red Sox host the Toronto Blue Jays at Fenway Park on Wednesday. The probable starters are Drew Hutchison for the Blue Jays and Joe Kelly for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Toronto at -120 and Boston at +110. The over/under was set at 10. The Blue Jays have a 65-64 over/under record and a 77-60 run line mark, meaning they cover 56% of the time. The Red Sox have a 73-58 over/under record and a 65-72 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 47% of the time.

The Blue Jays head into this matchup with a 78-59 record, including 31-34 on the road. Drew Hutchison has a 13-3 record on the season, an earned run average of 5.07 and a 1.42 WHIP. He's pitched 143.2 innings thus far while surrendering 164 hits over that time and when he starts, the Blue Jays are 18-8. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 17-9. His teammates are averaging 6.8 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.26 and they have given up 332 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .223 against the Blue Jays bullpen while walking 106 times and striking out 382 times. Toronto is averaging 6.98 strikeouts per game while getting 8.48 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 12th in baseball in team earned run average at 3.81.

Toronto ranks 6th in the league in team batting average at .267 while hitting .255 on the road. The Blue Jays hold a .452 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336 which is good for 1st in baseball. Josh Donaldson leads the team in hits with 162 while the team ranks 8th in baseball with 9.03 hits per game.

With a 38-34 home record, Boston will hope to improve on their 65-72 overall mark. Joe Kelly has a record of 9-6 while sporting an earned run average of 4.84 on the year with a 1.42 WHIP. He's pitched 126.1 innings thus far while surrendering 134 hits over that time in which the Red Sox are 12-11. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 13-9. His teammates score an average of 5.2 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.32 and they have given up 446 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .264 against the Red Sox bullpen while walking 156 times and striking out 372 times. Boston is averaging 7.49 strikeouts per game while getting 9.4 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.51.

They rank 5th in the league in team batting average with a .267 average while hitting .295 at home. The Red Sox hold a .417 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 3rd in baseball. Xander Bogaerts leads the team in hits with 164 while the team ranks 4th in baseball with 9.28 hits a game.

Toronto has a team fielding percentage of .985 after having committed 75 errors with 1,356 assists and 3,654 put outs for the season. The Red Sox have committed 82 errors on the season with 1,379 assists and 3,661 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .984 on the year.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Toronto Blue Jays are 65-64 against the over/under so far this season

The Toronto Blue Jays are 77-60 against the run line so far this season

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 73-58 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 65-72 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Toronto Blue Jays

07/29/15 2B Devon Travis Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/29)
05/10/15 RF Michael Saunders Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/10)
04/06/15 2B Maicer Izturis Groin Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)
04/06/15 P Marcus Stroman Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)

Boston Red Sox

09/05/15 LF Hanley Ramirez Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/27)
08/28/15 P Clay Buchholz Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/11); out for season
08/15/15 P Steven Wright Concussion Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/15)
08/11/15 P Koji Uehara Wrist Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/8), out for season
07/25/15 2B Dustin Pedroia Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/23)
05/29/15 P Brandon Workman Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/3)
05/28/15 P Anthony Varvaro Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/29)
05/13/15 P Justin Masterson Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/13)
04/04/15 C Christian Vazquez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/30), out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Blue Jays

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