Monday, September 7, 2015

Fenway Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Mark Buehrle (14-6) vs. Rick Porcello (6-12)

The Toronto Blue Jays head to Fenway Park on Monday to take on the Boston Red Sox. The Blue Jays send Mark Buehrle to the mound to face Rick Porcello of the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Toronto at -131 and Boston at +121. The over/under was set at 8. The Blue Jays, with a 76-59 run line record, cover the spread 56% of the time. They also have a 63-64 over/under record. The Red Sox have a 72-57 over/under record and a 63-72 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 47% of the time.

The Blue Jays head into this matchup with a 77-58 record, including 31-33 on the road. Mark Buehrle has a 14-6 record on the season, an earned run average of 3.53 and a 1.18 WHIP. He's pitched 171 innings thus far while surrendering 175 hits over that time and when he starts, the Blue Jays are 16-10. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 15-9. The team is averaging 6.4 runs when he starts. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.15 and they have given up 320 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .220 against the Blue Jays bullpen while walking 104 times and striking out 378 times. Toronto is averaging 7.01 strikeouts per game while getting 8.43 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 11th in baseball in team earned run average at 3.75.

Toronto is batting .266 as a team, which is good for 6th in the league and hitting .255 away from home. The Blue Jays hold a .449 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .335 which is good for 1st in baseball. Josh Donaldson leads the team in hits with 157 while the team ranks 8th in baseball with 8.99 hits per game.

With a 36-34 home record, Boston will hope to improve on their 63-72 overall mark. Rick Porcello has a record of 6-12 while sporting an earned run average of 5.21 on the year with a 1.36 WHIP. He's pitched 129.2 innings thus far while surrendering 148 hits over that time in which the Red Sox are 10-12. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 9-12. The team is averaging 3.3 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.34 and they have given up 442 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .264 against the Red Sox bullpen while walking 156 times and striking out 368 times. Boston is averaging 7.49 strikeouts per game while getting 9.39 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.54.

They are batting .266 as a team, which is good for 5th in the league and hitting .293 at home. The Red Sox hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 4th in baseball. Xander Bogaerts leads the team in hits with 162 while the team ranks 4th in baseball with 9.24 hits a game.

Toronto has a team fielding percentage of .985 after having committed 74 errors with 1,338 assists and 3,603 put outs for the season. The Red Sox have committed 82 errors on the season with 1,362 assists and 3,607 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .984 on the year.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Toronto Blue Jays are 63-64 against the over/under so far this season

The Toronto Blue Jays are 76-59 against the run line so far this season

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 72-57 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 63-72 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Toronto Blue Jays

07/29/15 2B Devon Travis Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/29)
05/10/15 RF Michael Saunders Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/10)
04/06/15 2B Maicer Izturis Groin Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)
04/06/15 P Marcus Stroman Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)

Boston Red Sox

09/06/15 3B Pablo Sandoval Back out indefinitely
09/05/15 LF Hanley Ramirez Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/27)
08/28/15 P Clay Buchholz Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/11); out for season
08/15/15 P Steven Wright Concussion Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/15)
08/11/15 P Koji Uehara Wrist Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/8), out for season
07/25/15 2B Dustin Pedroia Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/23)
05/29/15 P Brandon Workman Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/3)
05/28/15 P Anthony Varvaro Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/29)
05/13/15 P Justin Masterson Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/13)
04/04/15 C Christian Vazquez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/30), out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Blue Jays

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