Sunday, June 14, 2015
Fenway Park
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Marco Estrada (3-3) vs. Eduardo Rodriguez (2-0)
The Toronto Blue Jays take on the Boston Red Sox on Sunday at Fenway Park. The Blue Jays send Marco Estrada to the mound to face Eduardo Rodriguez of the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Toronto at +121 and Boston at -131. The over/under was set at 9. The Blue Jays, with a 31-31 run line record, cover the spread 50% of the time. They also have a 31-27 over/under record. The Red Sox have a 28-33 over/under record and a 25-37 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 40% of the time.
The Blue Jays head into this matchup with a 32-30 record, including 12-18 on the road. Starting pitcher Marco Estrada holds a 3-3 record with an earned run average of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.20. The Blue Jays are 2-5 over his 52.1 innings pitched and he's also given up 47 hits over that time period. Against the over/under, the Blue Jays are 4-3 in his starts. His teammates are averaging 4.9 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.56 and they have given up 145 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .216 against the Blue Jays bullpen while walking 57 times and striking out 182 times. Toronto is averaging 6.97 strikeouts per game while getting 8.63 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 27th in baseball in team earned run average at 4.31.
Toronto ranks 4th in the league in team batting average at .268 while hitting .257 on the road. The Blue Jays hold a .448 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334 which is good for 3rd in baseball. Josh Donaldson leads the team in hits with 79 while the team ranks 6th in baseball with 9.02 hits per game.
With a 15-15 home record, Boston will hope to improve on their 27-35 overall mark. With an earned run average of 0.44, Eduardo Rodriguez will come into this game holding a 2-0 record and a 0.73 WHIP. The Red Sox have a record of 2-1 over the 20.2 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 8 hits. Against the over/under, the Red Sox are 1-2 when he starts. His teammates score an average of 3.7 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.70 and they have given up 188 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .248 against the Red Sox bullpen while walking 73 times and striking out 161 times. Boston is averaging 7.3 strikeouts per game while getting 8.95 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 29th in the league in team earned run average at 4.41.
They rank 19th in the league in team batting average with a .247 average while hitting .273 at home. The Red Sox hold a .377 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317 which is good for 13th in baseball. Dustin Pedroia leads the team in hits with 76 while the team ranks 19th in baseball with 8.39 hits a game.
Toronto has a team fielding percentage of .986 after having committed 33 errors with 632 assists and 1,627 put outs for the season. The Red Sox have committed 37 errors on the season with 642 assists and 1,653 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .984 on the year.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 31-27 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 31-31 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 28-33 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 25-37 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Toronto Blue Jays
05/30/15 2B Steve Tolleson Groin Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/27)
05/22/15 2B Devon Travis Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/17)
05/10/15 RF Michael Saunders Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/10)
04/06/15 2B Maicer Izturis Groin Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)
04/06/15 P Marcus Stroman Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
Boston Red Sox
06/13/15 P Craig Breslow Personal out indefinitely
06/12/15 CF Mookie Betts Back injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Toronto Blue Jays
06/12/15 LF Hanley Ramirez Hamstring "?" Saturday vs. Toronto Blue Jays
05/29/15 P Brandon Workman Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/3)
05/28/15 P Anthony Varvaro Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/29)
05/28/15 RF Daniel Nava Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/26)
05/24/15 RF Shane Victorino Calf Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23)
05/13/15 P Justin Masterson Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/13)
05/02/15 C Ryan Hanigan Wrist Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/1)
04/06/15 P Edwin Escobar Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/29)
04/04/15 C Christian Vazquez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/30), out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's Free MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Expert MLB Picks