Tuesday, September 29, 2015

Oriole Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Marcus Stroman (3-0) vs. Miguel Gonzalez (9-11)

The Baltimore Orioles welcome the Toronto Blue Jays to Oriole Park on Tuesday. The Blue Jays send Marcus Stroman to the mound to face Miguel Gonzalez of the Orioles. The opening line for this matchup has Toronto at -134 and Baltimore at +124. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Blue Jays, with a 88-67 run line record, cover the spread 57% of the time. They also have a 73-72 over/under record. The Orioles are 75-80 against the run line and have a 68-78 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.

The Blue Jays head into this matchup with a 90-65 record, including 37-37 on the road. Starting pitcher Marcus Stroman holds a 3-0 record with an earned run average of 1.89 and a WHIP of 1.00. In his starts, the Blue Jays are 3-0 over his 19 innings pitched this season while giving up 15 hits during those innings. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 1-2. The team is averaging 6.7 runs when he starts. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.33 and they have given up 387 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the bullpen while being struck out 437 times and walking 120 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.46 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.97 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.77.

Toronto is batting .267 as a team, which is good for 4th in the league and hitting .256 away from home. The Blue Jays hold a .455 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 8th in baseball with 9.06 hits per game and Josh Donaldson leads the team with 179.

With a 44-30 home record, Baltimore will hope to improve on their 76-79 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.85, Miguel Gonzalez will come into this game holding a 9-11 record and a 1.38 WHIP. In his starts, the Orioles are 12-13 and he has allowed 147 hits over 141 innings pitched this season. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 12-13. The team is averaging 4.3 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.10 and they have given up 430 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 498 times and walking 179 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.75 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.05.

They are batting .249 as a team, which is good for 23rd in the league and hitting .268 at home. The Orioles hold a .416 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .305 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.43 hits per game and Manny Machado leads the team with 174.

Toronto has a team fielding percentage of .985 after having committed 86 errors with 1,531 assists and 4,144 put outs for the season. For the home team, they hold a .987 team fielding percentage while committing 73 errors, accumulating 1,523 assists and compiling 4,115 put outs.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Toronto Blue Jays are 73-72 against the over/under so far this season

The Toronto Blue Jays are 88-67 against the run line so far this season

Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles are 68-78 against the over/under so far this season

The Baltimore Orioles are 75-80 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Toronto Blue Jays

09/12/15 SS Troy Tulowitzki Back out indefinitely
07/29/15 2B Devon Travis Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/29)
05/10/15 RF Michael Saunders Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/10)
04/06/15 2B Maicer Izturis Groin Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)

Baltimore Orioles

09/26/15 P Miguel Gonzalez Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/31); expected to start Tuesday vs Toronto Blue Jays
05/13/15 P Jason Garcia Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/11)

Guy's Pick: Take the Orioles

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