Friday, July 31, 2015

Fenway Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Erasmo Ramirez (8-4) vs. Eduardo Rodriguez (6-3)

The Boston Red Sox welcome the Tampa Bay Rays to Fenway Park on Friday. The probable starters are Erasmo Ramirez for the Rays and Eduardo Rodriguez for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Tampa Bay at +117 and Boston at -127. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Rays have a 41-53 over/under record and a 55-48 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Red Sox have a 49-49 over/under record and a 41-61 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 40% of the time.

The Rays show up with a 51-52 record, including 25-24 on the road. Erasmo Ramirez has an earned run average of 3.74 and is 8-4 so far on the season while having a 1.08 WHIP. He's pitched 91.1 innings thus far while surrendering 73 hits over that time and when he starts, the Rays are 11-4. The Rays are also 4-9 against the over/under in his starts. He is getting 4 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.73 and they have given up 300 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .232 against the Rays bullpen while walking 131 times and striking out 314 times. Tampa Bay is averaging 8.22 strikeouts per game while getting 7.84 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 6th in baseball in team earned run average at 3.50.

As a team, Tampa Bay is batting .238, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .238 average away from home. The Rays hold a .381 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .303 which is good for 25th in baseball. Logan Forsythe leads the team in hits with 98 while the team ranks 30th in baseball with 7.87 hits per game.

Boston is 24-27 at home while holding a 44-58 overall record on the season. Eduardo Rodriguez is starting this game 6-3 for the season with an earned run average of 4.26 and a WHIP of 1.19. He's pitched 61.1 innings thus far while surrendering 53 hits over that time in which the Red Sox are 7-4. The Red Sox are also 7-4 against the over/under in his starts. He is getting 5 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.86 and they have given up 331 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .255 against the Red Sox bullpen while walking 110 times and striking out 286 times. Boston is averaging 7.41 strikeouts per game while getting 9.33 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.52.

As a team, they are batting .255, good for 9th in the league while putting together a .277 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .391 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318 which is good for 12th in baseball. Xander Bogaerts leads the team in hits with 114 while the team ranks 9th in baseball with 8.77 hits a game.

Tampa Bay has a team fielding percentage of .985 after having committed 57 errors with 913 assists and 2,766 put outs for the season. The Red Sox have committed 61 errors on the season with 1040 assists and 2,721 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .984 on the year.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Rays are 41-53 against the over/under so far this season

The Tampa Bay Rays are 55-48 against the run line so far this season

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 49-49 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 41-61 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Tampa Bay Rays

05/10/15 P Drew Smyly Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/6), out for season
05/09/15 P Alex Cobb Forearm Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season
05/03/15 CF Desmond Jennings Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26)
04/29/15 P Kirby Yates Pectoral Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/29)
04/18/15 P Jeff Beliveau Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/22), out for season

Boston Red Sox

07/30/15 3B Pablo Sandoval Dehydration left last game, probable Thursday vs. Chicago White Sox
07/29/15 CF Mookie Betts Concussion 7-day DL (7/28)
07/25/15 2B Dustin Pedroia Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/23)
07/11/15 P Clay Buchholz Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/11)
05/29/15 P Brandon Workman Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/3)
05/28/15 P Anthony Varvaro Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/29)
05/13/15 P Justin Masterson Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/13)
04/04/15 C Christian Vazquez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/30), out for season

Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox

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