Sunday, August 9, 2015

Miller Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: John Lackey (9-7) vs. Jimmy Nelson (9-9)

The Milwaukee Brewers host the St. Louis Cardinals at Miller Park on Sunday. The Cardinals send John Lackey to the mound to face Jimmy Nelson of the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has St. Louis at -128 and Milwaukee at +118. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Cardinals, with a 56-53 run line record, cover the spread 51% of the time. They also have a 39-66 over/under record. The Brewers have a 52-52 over/under record and a 51-60 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 46% of the time.

The Cardinals show up with a 70-39 record, including 30-23 on the road. John Lackey has a 9-7 record on the season, an earned run average of 2.85 and a 1.19 WHIP. In his starts, the Cardinals are 12-10 over his 145.1 innings pitched this season while giving up 138 hits during those innings. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 8-13. The team is averaging 3.9 runs when he starts. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 2.24 and they've given up 287 hits on the season. Opposing teams are hitting .232 against the Cardinals bullpen while walking 115 times and striking out 292 times. St. Louis is averaging 8.05 strikeouts per game while getting 8.02 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 1st in baseball in team earned run average at 2.60.

St. Louis is batting .254 as a team, which is good for 11th in the league and hitting .247 away from home. Ranked at 8th in the league in on-base percentage, the Cardinals sit at .322 and they hold a .390 team slugging percentage. Jhonny Peralta leads the team in hits with 116 while the team ranks 11th in baseball with 8.69 hits per game.

Milwaukee is 23-35 at home while holding a 47-64 overall record on the season. Jimmy Nelson has a record of 9-9 while sporting an earned run average of 3.57 on the year with a 1.23 WHIP. In his starts, the Brewers are 10-12 and he has allowed 119 hits over 136 innings pitched this season. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 10-11. The team is averaging 4 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 3.47 and they have given up 293 hits on the season. Opposing teams are hitting .232 against the Brewers bullpen while walking 115 times and striking out 344 times. Milwaukee is averaging 7.92 strikeouts per game while getting 8.93 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.14.

They are batting .251 as a team, which is good for 17th in the league and hitting .249 at home. Ranked at 23rd in the league in on-base percentage, the Brewers sit at .306 and they hold a .391 team slugging percentage. Gerardo Parra leads the team in hits with 110 while the team ranks 18th in baseball with 8.49 hits a game.

The Cardinals have committed 62 errors and have combined for 1,090 assists and 2,998 put outs leading to a .985 team fielding percentage. The Brewers have committed 82 errors on the season with 1121 assists and 2,957 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .980 on the year.

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends

The St. Louis Cardinals are 39-66 against the over/under so far this season

The St. Louis Cardinals are 56-53 against the run line so far this season

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 52-52 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 51-60 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

St. Louis Cardinals

07/30/15 LF Matt Holliday Quad Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/29)
07/03/15 CF Jon Jay Wrist Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/1)
07/01/15 P Matt Belisle Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/26)
05/27/15 1B Matt Adams Quad Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (05/26), out for regular season
05/03/15 P Jordan Walden Bicep Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/30)
04/28/15 P Adam Wainwright Achilles Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/25); out for season

Milwaukee Brewers

08/08/15 1B Adam Lind Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday vs. St. Louis Cardinals
06/04/15 P Brandon Kintzler Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/26)

Josh's Pick: Take the Cardinals

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