Thursday, August 6, 2015

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Michael Wacha (12-4) vs. Michael Lorenzen (3-6)

The St. Louis Cardinals take on the Cincinnati Reds on Thursday at Great American Ball Park. The Cardinals send Michael Wacha to the mound to face Michael Lorenzen of the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has St. Louis at -148 and Cincinnati at +138. The over/under was set at 8. The Cardinals have a 39-63 over/under record and a 54-52 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Reds have a 50-48 over/under record and a 53-50 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 52% of the time.

The Cardinals come into this game with a 67-39 record, and they are 27-23 away from home. Michael Wacha has an earned run average of 3.09 and is 12-4 so far on the season while having a 1.09 WHIP. He's pitched 125.1 innings thus far while surrendering 107 hits over that time and when he starts, the Cardinals are 15-5. The Cardinals are also 9-10 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 5.1 runs when he starts. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.27 and they have given up 286 base hits on the year. The bullpen has struck out 287 and walked 112 batters this season while opposing teams hit .235 against them. St. Louis has a team average of 8.11 hits allowed per game and are averaging 8.02 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 2.68, they are 1st in the league.

St. Louis is batting .256 as a team, which is good for 9th in the league and hitting .250 away from home. The Cardinals hold a .392 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 7th in baseball. With 115 hits, Jhonny Peralta leads the team while his team ranks 10th in hits per game with 8.74.

With a 48-56 overall record, Cincinnati will come into this game 28-24 at home. Michael Lorenzen is starting this game 3-6 for the season with an earned run average of 4.80 and a WHIP of 1.58. He's pitched 84.1 innings thus far while surrendering 86 hits over that time in which the Reds are 6-9. The Reds are also 7-7 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 4.1 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.10 and they have given up 299 base hits on the year. The Reds bullpen has struck out 300 batters and walked 141 this season while opposing teams have hit .235 against them. Cincinnati has a team average of 8.42 hits per game and are averaging 7.34 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.08, they are 23rd in the league.

They are batting .253 as a team, which is good for 14th in the league and hitting .266 at home. The Reds hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317 which is good for 13th in baseball. With 113 hits, Joey Votto leads the team while his team ranks 12th in hits per game with 8.69.

St. Louis has a team fielding percentage of .985 after having committed 61 errors with 1,060 assists and 2,905 put outs for the season. Over the course of this season, the Reds have accumlated 52 errors while having 1071 assists and 2,810 put outs leading to a .987 fielding percentage.

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends

The St. Louis Cardinals are 39-63 against the over/under so far this season

The St. Louis Cardinals are 54-52 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 50-48 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 53-50 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

St. Louis Cardinals

07/30/15 LF Matt Holliday Quad Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/29)
07/03/15 CF Jon Jay Wrist Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/1)
07/01/15 P Matt Belisle Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/26)
05/27/15 1B Matt Adams Quad Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (05/26), out for regular season
05/03/15 P Jordan Walden Bicep Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/30)
04/28/15 P Adam Wainwright Achilles Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/25); out for season

Cincinnati Reds

06/17/15 P Jon Moscot Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/16)
06/11/15 SS Zack Cozart Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/11); out for season
05/25/15 C Devin Mesoraco Hip Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/23), out for season
04/28/15 P Homer Bailey Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26); out for season
04/04/15 P Sean Marshall Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)

Tony's Pick: Take the Reds

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