Wednesday, September 2, 2015

Miller Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jeff Locke (7-8) vs. Zach Davies (0-0)

The Pittsburgh Pirates visit Miller Park on Wednesday to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Jeff Locke for the Pirates and Zach Davies for the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has Pittsburgh at -145 and Milwaukee at +135. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Pirates, with a 58-71 run line record, cover the spread 45% of the time. They also have a 56-61 over/under record. The Brewers have a 62-59 over/under record and a 59-71 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 45% of the time.

The Pirates come into this game with a 79-50 record, and they are 33-29 away from home. Jeff Locke has a 7-8 record on the season, an earned run average of 4.46 and a 1.42 WHIP. He's pitched 141.1 innings thus far while surrendering 148 hits over that time and when he starts, the Pirates are 14-11. The Pirates are also 13-9 against the over/under in his starts. He is getting 4.1 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has given up 353 hits on the season and have an earned run average of 2.53. Teams are hitting .232 against the bullpen while being struck out 353 times and walking 122 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 8.43 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.87 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.13.

As a team, Pittsburgh is batting .260, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .257 average away from home. The Pirates on-base percentage sits at .322, which puts them at 9th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .395. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.02 hits per game and Andrew McCutchen leads the team with 139.

With a 55-75 overall record, Milwaukee will come into this game 30-39 at home. Zach Davies is making his first start of the year for the Brewers, so he has no stats to analyze at this point. The bullpen has given up 353 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.56. Teams are hitting .232 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 415 times and walking 137 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.01 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.95 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.25.

As a team, they are batting .251, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .250 average at home. The Brewers on-base percentage sits at .305, which puts them at 25th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .396. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.45 hits per game and Gerardo Parra leads the team with 134.

In terms of team defense, the Pirates have a fielding percentage of .981 with 96 total errors, 1,527 assists and 3,563 put outs. For the home team, they hold a .981 team fielding percentage while committing 93 errors, accumulating 1,326 assists and compiling 3,452 put outs.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 56-61 against the over/under so far this season

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 58-71 against the run line so far this season

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 62-59 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 59-71 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Pittsburgh Pirates

08/24/15 1B Travis Ishikawa Back Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/20)
08/08/15 P Deolis Guerra Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/7)
08/01/15 P A.J. Burnett Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/31)
07/19/15 CF Gorkys Hernandez Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/13)
06/24/15 RF Corey Hart Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/22)
05/07/15 LF Andrew Lambo Plantar Fasciitis Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/4)
04/06/15 P Brandon Cumpton Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)

Milwaukee Brewers

08/21/15 P Tyler Cravy Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/19)
08/14/15 P Michael Blazek Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/13)

Josh's Pick: Take the Brewers

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