Friday, July 31, 2015

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jeff Locke (5-6) vs. Michael Lorenzen (3-5)

The Cincinnati Reds welcome the Pittsburgh Pirates to Great American Ball Park on Friday. Jeff Locke is the probable starter for the Pirates and he'll face Michael Lorenzen of the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Pittsburgh at -115 and Cincinnati at +105. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Pirates, with a 43-57 run line record, cover the spread 43% of the time. They also have a 44-47 over/under record. The Reds have a 49-45 over/under record and a 49-49 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 50% of the time.

The Pirates come into this game with a 59-41 record, and they are 24-24 away from home. Jeff Locke has a 5-6 record on the season, an earned run average of 4.15 and a 1.41 WHIP. In his starts, the Pirates are 10-9 over his 108.1 innings pitched this season while giving up 112 hits during those innings. Against the over/under, the Pirates are 9-9 in his starts. His teammates are averaging 3.6 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 2.71 and they've given up 271 hits on the season. The bullpen has struck out 262 and walked 90 batters this season while opposing teams hit .237 against them. Pittsburgh has a team average of 8.38 hits allowed per game and are averaging 7.82 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 3.09, they are 2nd in the league.

Pittsburgh ranks 8th in the league in team batting average at .257 while hitting .257 on the road. Ranked at 13th in the league in on-base percentage, the Pirates sit at .317 and they hold a .386 team slugging percentage. With 103 hits, Starling Marte leads the team while his team ranks 7th in hits per game with 8.9.

With a 45-54 overall record, Cincinnati will come into this game 25-22 at home. Michael Lorenzen has a record of 3-5 while sporting an earned run average of 4.58 on the year with a 1.58 WHIP. In his starts, the Reds are 6-8 and he has allowed 80 hits over 78.2 innings pitched this season. Against the over/under, the Reds are 7-7 when he starts. His teammates score an average of 4.1 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 4.24 and they have given up 282 hits on the season. The Reds bullpen has struck out 273 batters and walked 135 this season while opposing teams have hit .237 against them. Cincinnati has a team average of 8.46 hits per game and are averaging 7.26 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.11, they are 25th in the league.

They rank 19th in the league in team batting average with a .251 average while hitting .263 at home. Ranked at 15th in the league in on-base percentage, the Reds sit at .314 and they hold a .400 team slugging percentage. With 109 hits, Joey Votto leads the team while his team ranks 12th in hits per game with 8.62.

The Pirates have committed 76 errors and have combined for 1206 assists and 2,756 put outs leading to a .981 team fielding percentage. Over the course of this season, the Reds have accumlated 51 errors while having 1034 assists and 2,675 put outs leading to a .986 fielding percentage.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 44-47 against the over/under so far this season

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 43-57 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 49-45 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 49-49 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Pittsburgh Pirates

07/20/15 SS Jordy Mercer Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/20)
07/19/15 CF Gorkys Hernandez Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/13)
07/06/15 3B Josh Harrison Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/6)
06/24/15 RF Corey Hart Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/22)
05/07/15 LF Andrew Lambo Plantar Fasciitis Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/4)
04/06/15 P Brandon Cumpton Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)

Cincinnati Reds

07/21/15 P Manny Parra Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/20)
06/17/15 P Jon Moscot Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/16)
06/11/15 SS Zack Cozart Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/11); out for season
05/25/15 C Devin Mesoraco Hip Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/23), out for season
04/28/15 P Homer Bailey Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26); out for season
04/04/15 P Sean Marshall Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)

Josh's Pick: Take the Reds

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