Thursday, July 30, 2015

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jeff Locke (5-6) vs. David Holmberg (0-0)

The Cincinnati Reds welcome the Pittsburgh Pirates to Great American Ball Park on Thursday. The probable starters are Jeff Locke for the Pirates and David Holmberg for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Pittsburgh at +110 and Cincinnati at -117. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Pirates have a 43-47 over/under record and a 42-57 run line mark, meaning they cover 42% of the time. The Reds are 48-49 against the run line and have a 49-44 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.

The Pirates show up with a 58-41 record, including 23-24 on the road. Starting pitcher Jeff Locke holds a 5-6 record with an earned run average of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.41. He's pitched 108.1 innings thus far while surrendering 112 hits over that time and when he starts, the Pirates are 10-9. The Pirates are also 9-9 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 3.6 runs when he starts. The bullpen has given up 269 hits on the season and have a earned run average of 2.71. Teams are hitting .238 against the bullpen while being struck out 257 times and walking 88 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 8.34 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.81 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.09.

Pittsburgh is batting .256 as a team, which is good for 8th in the league and hitting .255 away from home. The Pirates on-base percentage sits at .316, which puts them at 14th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .383. They rank 7th in baseball with 8.86 hits per game and Starling Marte leads the team with 102.

Cincinnati is 25-22 at home while holding a 44-54 overall record on the season. David Holmberg will make his debut start for the Reds on Thursday night. The bullpen has given up 281 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 4.27. Teams are hitting .238 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 270 times and walking 135 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.27 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.15.

They are batting .252 as a team, which is good for 15th in the league and hitting .263 at home. The Reds on-base percentage sits at .316, which puts them at 13th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .402. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.68 hits per game and Joey Votto leads the team with 109.

In terms of team defense, the Pirates have a fielding percentage of .981 with 74 total errors, 1193 assists and 2,729 put outs. For the home team, they hold a .986 team fielding percentage while committing 51 errors, accumulating 1018 assists and compiling 2,648 put outs.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 43-47 against the over/under so far this season

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 42-57 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 49-44 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 48-49 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Pittsburgh Pirates

07/29/15 RF Gregory Polanco Knee left last game, "?" Thursday vs. Cincinnati Reds
07/20/15 SS Jordy Mercer Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/20)
07/19/15 CF Gorkys Hernandez Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/13)
07/06/15 3B Josh Harrison Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/6)
06/24/15 RF Corey Hart Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/22)
05/07/15 LF Andrew Lambo Plantar Fasciitis Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/4)
04/06/15 P Brandon Cumpton Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)
04/06/15 SS Justin Sellers Heel Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)

Cincinnati Reds

07/21/15 P Manny Parra Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/20)
06/17/15 P Jon Moscot Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/16)
06/11/15 SS Zack Cozart Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/11); out for season
05/25/15 C Devin Mesoraco Hip Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/23), out for season
04/28/15 P Homer Bailey Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26); out for season
04/04/15 P Sean Marshall Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)

Tony's Pick: Take the Reds

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