Friday, September 4, 2015

Fenway Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Adam Morgan (5-4) vs. Joe Kelly (8-6)

The Boston Red Sox host the Philadelphia Phillies at Fenway Park on Friday. Adam Morgan is the probable starter for the Phillies and he'll face Joe Kelly of the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Philadelphia at +185 and Boston at -200. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Phillies have a 72-51 over/under record and a 67-67 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Red Sox are 61-72 against the run line and have a 70-57 over/under record. They cover the spread 46% of the time.

The Phillies come into this game with a 53-81 record, and they are 23-46 away from home. Adam Morgan has a 5-4 record on the season, an earned run average of 4.03 and a 1.21 WHIP. He's pitched 67 innings thus far while surrendering 67 hits over that time and when he starts, the Phillies are 7-5. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 5-6. The team is averaging 4.1 runs when he starts. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 3.88 and they've given up 460 hits on the season. The bullpen has struck out 429 and walked 186 batters this season while opposing teams hit .261 against them. Philadelphia has a team average of 10.05 hits allowed per game and are averaging 7.16 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.80, they are 29th in the league.

Philadelphia is batting .253 as a team, which is good for 14th in the league and hitting .253 away from home. Ranked at 27th in the league in on-base percentage, the Phillies sit at .305 and they hold a .385 team slugging percentage. With 144 hits, Ben Revere leads the team while his team ranks 13th in hits per game with 8.67.

With a 61-72 overall record, Boston will come into this game 34-34 at home. Joe Kelly has a record of 8-6 while sporting an earned run average of 4.94 on the year with a 1.43 WHIP. He's pitched 120.1 innings thus far while surrendering 129 hits over that time in which the Red Sox are 11-11. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 12-9. The team is averaging 5.1 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 4.30 and they have given up 436 hits on the season. The Red Sox bullpen has struck out 362 batters and walked 156 this season while opposing teams have hit .263 against them. Boston has a team average of 9.42 hits per game and are averaging 7.46 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.55, they are 27th in the league.

They are batting .265 as a team, which is good for 7th in the league and hitting .292 at home. Ranked at 7th in the league in on-base percentage, the Red Sox sit at .325 and they hold a .412 team slugging percentage. With 159 hits, Xander Bogaerts leads the team while his team ranks 6th in hits per game with 9.2.

The Phillies have committed 93 errors and have combined for 1,294 assists and 3,555 put outs leading to a .981 team fielding percentage. Over the course of this season, the Red Sox have accumulated 82 errors while having 1,346 assists and 3,553 put outs leading to a .984 fielding percentage.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 72-51 against the over/under so far this season

The Philadelphia Phillies are 67-67 against the run line so far this season

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 70-57 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 61-72 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Philadelphia Phillies

09/03/15 RF Domonic Brown Concussion expected to miss series vs. Boston Red Sox
09/01/15 P Matt Harrison Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/31), out for season
08/28/15 P Elvis Araujo Groin Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/28), out for season
08/19/15 3B Maikel Franco Wrist Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/12)
07/21/15 P Chad Billingsley Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/19), out for season
04/06/15 P Jonathan Pettibone Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)
04/06/15 P Mario Hollands Arch Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
04/04/15 P Cliff Lee Arm Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/16)

Boston Red Sox

09/02/15 LF Hanley Ramirez Shoulder "?" Friday vs Philadelphia Phillies
08/28/15 P Clay Buchholz Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/11); out for season
08/15/15 P Steven Wright Concussion Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/15)
08/11/15 P Koji Uehara Wrist Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/8), out for season
07/25/15 2B Dustin Pedroia Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/23)
05/29/15 P Brandon Workman Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/3)
05/28/15 P Anthony Varvaro Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/29)
05/13/15 P Justin Masterson Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/13)
04/04/15 C Christian Vazquez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/30), out for season

Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox

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