Saturday, July 11, 2015

Fenway Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Ivan Nova (1-2) vs. Eduardo Rodriguez (4-2)

The New York Yankees take on the Boston Red Sox on Saturday at Fenway Park. The probable starters are Ivan Nova for the Yankees and Eduardo Rodriguez for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has New York at +115 and Boston at -125. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Yankees, with a 45-40 run line record, cover the spread 53% of the time. They also have a 43-38 over/under record. The Red Sox are 37-49 against the run line and have a 40-42 over/under record. They cover the spread 43% of the time.

The Yankees show up with a 46-39 record, including 21-23 on the road. Ivan Nova has a 1-2 record on the season, an earned run average of 2.65 and a 1.41 WHIP. He's pitched 17 innings thus far while surrendering 17 hits over that time and when he starts, the Yankees are 1-2. Against the over/under, the Yankees are 1-1 in his starts. His teammates are averaging 4 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.48 and they have given up 214 base hits on the year. The bullpen has struck out 304 and walked 109 batters this season while opposing teams hit .210 against them. New York has a team average of 8.75 hits allowed per game and are averaging 8.44 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 3.97, they are 19th in the league.

New York ranks 15th in the league in team batting average at .253 while hitting .235 on the road. The Yankees hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 5th in baseball. With 92 hits, Brett Gardner leads the team while his team ranks 11th in hits per game with 8.72.

Boston is 21-21 at home while holding a 41-45 overall record on the season. Eduardo Rodriguez has a record of 4-2 while sporting an earned run average of 3.69 on the year with a 1.17 WHIP. He's pitched 46.1 innings thus far while surrendering 39 hits over that time in which the Red Sox are 5-3. Against the over/under, the Red Sox are 5-3 when he starts. His teammates score an average of 4.8 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.93 and they have given up 272 base hits on the year. The Red Sox bullpen has struck out 232 batters and walked 94 this season while opposing teams have hit .256 against them. Boston has a team average of 9.31 hits per game and are averaging 7.44 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.45, they are 28th in the league.

They rank 11th in the league in team batting average with a .256 average while hitting .275 at home. The Red Sox hold a .397 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 10th in baseball. With 92 hits, Xander Bogaerts leads the team while his team ranks 8th in hits per game with 8.79.

New York has a team fielding percentage of .981 after having committed 59 errors with 800 assists and 2,297 put outs for the season. Over the course of this season, the Red Sox have accumlated 49 errors while having 885 assists and 2,301 put outs leading to a .985 fielding percentage.

New York Yankees Betting Trends

The New York Yankees are 43-38 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Yankees are 45-40 against the run line so far this season

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 40-42 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 37-49 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

New York Yankees

07/09/15 3B Chase Headley Knee "?" Friday vs. Boston Red Sox
07/03/15 RF Carlos Beltran Ribs Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/1)
06/24/15 SS Brendan Ryan Back Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/22)
06/21/15 RF Mason Williams Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/20)
05/30/15 CF Slade Heathcott Quad Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/29)
05/15/15 P Chase Whitley Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/15)

Boston Red Sox

07/04/15 C Blake Swihart Foot Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/1)
06/25/15 2B Dustin Pedroia Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/25)
05/29/15 P Brandon Workman Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/3)
05/28/15 P Anthony Varvaro Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/29)
05/28/15 RF Daniel Nava Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/26)
05/13/15 P Justin Masterson Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/13)
04/04/15 C Christian Vazquez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/30), out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Yankees

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