Thursday, August 27, 2015

Citizens Bank Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jon Niese (8-9) vs. Aaron Harang (5-14)

The New York Mets take on the Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday at Citizens Bank Park. The probable starters are Jon Niese for the Mets and Aaron Harang for the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has New York at -165 and Philadelphia at +155. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Mets have a 62-57 over/under record and a 65-59 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Phillies have a 67-49 over/under record and a 64-62 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 51% of the time.

The Mets show up with a 69-56 record, including 27-35 on the road. Starting pitcher Jon Niese holds a 8-9 record with an earned run average of 3.80 and a WHIP of 1.34. In his starts, the Mets are 10-14 over his 146.2 innings pitched this season while giving up 156 hits during those innings. The Mets are also 13-9 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 3.8 runs when he starts. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.08 and they have given up 280 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .221 against the Mets bullpen while walking 131 times and striking out 318 times. New York is averaging 8.03 strikeouts per game while getting 8.14 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 3rd in baseball in team earned run average at 3.31.

New York is batting .242 as a team, which is good for 29th in the league and hitting .248 away from home. The Mets hold a .389 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306 which is good for 24th in baseball. Curtis Granderson leads the team in hits with 118 while the team ranks 28th in baseball with 8.22 hits per game.

Philadelphia is 28-32 at home while holding a 50-76 overall record on the season. With an earned run average of 4.67, Aaron Harang will come into this game holding a 5-14 record and a 1.35 WHIP. In his starts, the Phillies are 7-15 and he has allowed 141 hits over 133 innings pitched this season. The Phillies are also 8-12 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 2.7 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.72 and they have given up 420 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .255 against the Phillies bullpen while walking 175 times and striking out 411 times. Philadelphia is averaging 7.25 strikeouts per game while getting 10.01 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 29th in the league in team earned run average at 4.76.

They are batting .254 as a team, which is good for 14th in the league and hitting .254 at home. The Phillies hold a .386 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304 which is good for 28th in baseball. Ben Revere leads the team in hits with 129 while the team ranks 10th in baseball with 8.71 hits a game.

New York has a team fielding percentage of .985 after having committed 68 errors with 1,234 assists and 3,376 put outs for the season. The Phillies have committed 85 errors on the season with 1236 assists and 3,333 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .982 on the year.

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 62-57 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 65-59 against the run line so far this season

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 67-49 against the over/under so far this season

The Philadelphia Phillies are 64-62 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

New York Mets

08/26/15 3B David Wright Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Wednesday vs. Philadelphia Phillies
08/23/15 1B Lucas Duda Back Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/22)
08/19/15 P Bobby Parnell Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/17)
08/05/15 P Rafael Montero Rotator Cuff Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/30)
08/03/15 LF Kirk Nieuwenhuis Back Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/30)
07/29/15 P Jenrry Mejia Suspension out for season
07/09/15 P Steven Matz Back Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/6)
06/04/15 RF Cesar Puello Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
05/14/15 P Buddy Carlyle Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/12)
04/06/15 P Joshua Edgin Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season
04/06/15 P Zack Wheeler Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season

Philadelphia Phillies

08/19/15 3B Maikel Franco Wrist Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/12)
07/21/15 P Chad Billingsley Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/19)
04/06/15 P Jonathan Pettibone Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)
04/06/15 P Mario Hollands Arch Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
04/04/15 P Cliff Lee Arm Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/16)

Tony's Pick: Take the Phillies

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