Wednesday, August 5, 2015

Marlins Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Matt Harvey (9-7) vs. David Phelps (4-7)

The Miami Marlins host the New York Mets at Marlins Park on Wednesday. Matt Harvey is the probable starter for the Mets and he'll face David Phelps of the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has New York at -135 and Miami at +125. The over/under was set at 6.5. The Mets, with a 52-53 run line record, cover the spread 50% of the time. They also have a 49-51 over/under record. The Marlins are 50-56 against the run line and have a 48-53 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.

The Mets come into this game with a 56-50 record, and they are 18-32 away from home. Starting pitcher Matt Harvey holds a 9-7 record with an earned run average of 2.91 and a WHIP of 1.06. In his starts, the Mets are 12-8 over his 133 innings pitched this season while giving up 110 hits during those innings. The Mets are also 10-10 against the over/under in his starts. He is getting 4.1 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.92 and they have given up 228 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .218 against the Mets bullpen while walking 111 times and striking out 264 times. New York is averaging 8.01 strikeouts per game while getting 8.09 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 3rd in baseball in team earned run average at 3.22.

As a team, New York is batting .236, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .234 average away from home. The Mets hold a .369 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .301 which is good for 29th in baseball. Curtis Granderson leads the team in hits with 101 while the team ranks 30th in baseball with 7.91 hits per game.

With a 43-63 overall record, Miami will come into this game 26-28 at home. With an earned run average of 3.93, David Phelps will come into this game holding a 4-7 record and a 1.29 WHIP. In his starts, the Marlins are 5-12 and he has allowed 107 hits over 105.1 innings pitched this season. The Marlins are also 7-10 against the over/under in his starts. He is getting 3.7 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.37 and they have given up 293 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .239 against the Marlins bullpen while walking 119 times and striking out 330 times. Miami is averaging 7.35 strikeouts per game while getting 8.44 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 14th in the league in team earned run average at 3.77.

As a team, they are batting .251, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .252 average at home. The Marlins hold a .371 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .302 which is good for 27th in baseball. Dee Gordon leads the team in hits with 126 while the team ranks 18th in baseball with 8.42 hits a game.

New York has a team fielding percentage of .985 after having committed 60 errors with 1,055 assists and 2,854 put outs for the season. The Marlins have committed 51 errors on the season with 1040 assists and 2,797 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .987 on the year.

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 49-51 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 52-53 against the run line so far this season

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 48-53 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 50-56 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

New York Mets

08/03/15 LF Kirk Nieuwenhuis Rest Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/30)
07/29/15 P Jenrry Mejia Suspension out for season
07/24/15 RF Michael Cuddyer Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/22)
07/09/15 P Steven Matz Back Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/6)
06/04/15 RF Cesar Puello Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
05/14/15 P Buddy Carlyle Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/12)
04/16/15 3B David Wright Back Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/15)
04/06/15 P Joshua Edgin Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season
04/06/15 P Zack Wheeler Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season

Miami Marlins

08/04/15 P Carter Capps Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/3)
07/10/15 2B Jeff Baker Side Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/8)
07/01/15 RF Giancarlo Stanton Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/21)
06/04/15 P Henderson Alvarez Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/22); out for season
04/14/15 3B Don Kelly Finger Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/13)
04/08/15 P Aaron Crow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/29); out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins

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