Sunday, September 27, 2015

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jacob deGrom (13-8) vs. Keyvius Sampson (2-5)

The New York Mets take on the Cincinnati Reds on Sunday at Great American Ball Park. Jacob deGrom is the probable starter for the Mets and he'll face Keyvius Sampson of the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has New York at -123 and Cincinnati at +113. The over/under was set at 8. The Mets have a 81-67 over/under record and a 81-72 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Reds are 78-74 against the run line and have a 78-69 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.

The Mets come into this game with a 87-67 record, and they are 39-37 away from home. Jacob deGrom has a 13-8 record on the season, an earned run average of 2.64 and a 0.99 WHIP. He's pitched 181 innings thus far while surrendering 144 hits over that time and when he starts, the Mets are 18-10. The Mets are also 15-12 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 4.4 runs when he starts. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.50 and they have given up 377 base hits on the year. The bullpen has struck out 417 and walked 164 batters this season while opposing teams hit .230 against them. New York has a team average of 8.3 hits allowed per game and are averaging 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 3.49, they are 4th in the league.

New York is batting .247 as a team, which is good for 26th in the league and hitting .255 away from home. The Mets hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314 which is good for 19th in baseball. With 142 hits, Curtis Granderson leads the team while his team ranks 24th in hits per game with 8.43.

With a 63-90 overall record, Cincinnati will come into this game 34-42 at home. Keyvius Sampson has a record of 2-5 while sporting an earned run average of 6.45 on the year with a 1.79 WHIP. He's pitched 44.2 innings thus far while surrendering 56 hits over that time in which the Reds are 4-6. The Reds are also 6-4 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 5.2 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.99 and they have given up 473 base hits on the year. The Reds bullpen has struck out 453 batters and walked 214 this season while opposing teams have hit .241 against them. Cincinnati has a team average of 8.83 hits per game and are averaging 7.58 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.29, they are 24th in the league.

They are batting .250 as a team, which is good for 20th in the league and hitting .257 at home. The Reds hold a .401 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316 which is good for 15th in baseball. With 165 hits, Brandon Phillips leads the team while his team ranks 15th in hits per game with 8.61.

New York has a team fielding percentage of .985 after having committed 85 errors with 1,535 assists and 4,181 put outs for the season. Over the course of this season, the Reds have accumulated 82 errors while having 1,556 assists and 4,116 put outs leading to a .986 fielding percentage.

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 81-67 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 81-72 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 78-69 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 78-74 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

New York Mets

09/26/15 3B Juan Uribe Chest out indefinitely
08/05/15 P Rafael Montero Rotator Cuff Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/30)
07/29/15 P Jenrry Mejia Suspension out for season
06/04/15 RF Cesar Puello Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
05/14/15 P Buddy Carlyle Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/12)
04/06/15 P Joshua Edgin Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season
04/06/15 P Zack Wheeler Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season

Cincinnati Reds

09/22/15 CF Billy Hamilton Shoulder out for season
09/22/15 CF Ryan LaMarre Hamstring out indefinitely
09/12/15 2B Kristopher Negron Shoulder out for season
06/17/15 P Jon Moscot Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/16)
06/11/15 SS Zack Cozart Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/11); out for season
05/25/15 C Devin Mesoraco Hip Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/23), out for season
04/28/15 P Homer Bailey Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26); out for season
04/04/15 P Sean Marshall Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)

Josh's Pick: Take the Mets

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