Saturday, September 26, 2015

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Matt Harvey (12-7) vs. John Lamb (1-3)

The Cincinnati Reds welcome the New York Mets to Great American Ball Park on Saturday. The probable starters are Matt Harvey for the Mets and John Lamb for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has New York at -155 and Cincinnati at +145. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Mets, with a 80-72 run line record, cover the spread 53% of the time. They also have a 80-67 over/under record. The Reds are 78-73 against the run line and have a 77-69 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.

The Mets come into this game with a 86-67 record, and they are 38-37 away from home. Starting pitcher Matt Harvey holds a 12-7 record with an earned run average of 2.80 and a WHIP of 1.02. The Mets are 16-11 over his 176.2 innings pitched and he's also given up 143 hits over that time period. Against the over/under, the Mets are 16-11 in his starts. The team is averaging 4.4 runs when he starts. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 3.45 and they've given up 371 hits on the season. The bullpen has struck out 414 and walked 163 batters this season while opposing teams hit .228 against them. New York has a team average of 8.28 hits allowed per game and are averaging 8.06 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 3.48, they are 4th in the league.

New York is batting .246 as a team, which is good for 27th in the league and hitting .254 away from home. Ranked at 19th in the league in on-base percentage, the Mets sit at .313 and they hold a .400 team slugging percentage. With 140 hits, Curtis Granderson leads the team while his team ranks 25th in hits per game with 8.39.

With a 63-89 overall record, Cincinnati will come into this game 34-41 at home. With an earned run average of 4.60, John Lamb will come into this game holding a 1-3 record and a 1.49 WHIP. The Reds have a record of 2-6 over the 43 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 50 hits. Against the over/under, the Reds are 5-3 when he starts. The team is averaging 4.5 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 3.92 and they have given up 468 hits on the season. The Reds bullpen has struck out 449 batters and walked 213 this season while opposing teams have hit .240 against them. Cincinnati has a team average of 8.8 hits per game and are averaging 7.59 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.25, they are 24th in the league.

They are batting .250 as a team, which is good for 21st in the league and hitting .256 at home. Ranked at 15th in the league in on-base percentage, the Reds sit at .316 and they hold a .400 team slugging percentage. With 164 hits, Brandon Phillips leads the team while his team ranks 16th in hits per game with 8.6.

The Mets have committed 85 errors and have combined for 1,530 assists and 4,154 put outs leading to a .985 team fielding percentage. Over the course of this season, the Reds have accumulated 81 errors while having 1,548 assists and 4,089 put outs leading to a .986 fielding percentage.

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 80-67 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 80-72 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 77-69 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 78-73 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

New York Mets

08/05/15 P Rafael Montero Rotator Cuff Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/30)
07/29/15 P Jenrry Mejia Suspension out for season
06/04/15 RF Cesar Puello Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
05/14/15 P Buddy Carlyle Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/12)
04/06/15 P Joshua Edgin Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season
04/06/15 P Zack Wheeler Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season

Cincinnati Reds

09/22/15 CF Billy Hamilton Shoulder out for season
09/22/15 CF Ryan LaMarre Hamstring out indefinitely
09/12/15 2B Kristopher Negron Shoulder out for season
06/17/15 P Jon Moscot Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/16)
06/11/15 SS Zack Cozart Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/11); out for season
05/25/15 C Devin Mesoraco Hip Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/23), out for season
04/28/15 P Homer Bailey Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26); out for season
04/04/15 P Sean Marshall Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)

Josh's Pick: Take the Mets

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