Thursday, September 24, 2015

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Steven Matz (4-0) vs. Joshua Smith (0-2)

The New York Mets head to Great American Ball Park on Thursday to take on the Cincinnati Reds. The Mets send Steven Matz to the mound to face Joshua Smith of the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has New York at -154 and Cincinnati at +144. The over/under was set at 8. The Mets have a 78-67 over/under record and a 79-71 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Reds are 78-71 against the run line and have a 75-69 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.

The Mets show up with a 85-66 record, including 37-37 on the road. Steven Matz has an earned run average of 1.80 and is 4-0 so far on the season while having a 1.13 WHIP. In his starts, the Mets are 4-1 over his 30 innings pitched this season while giving up 24 hits during those innings. The Mets are also 2-3 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates are averaging 5.6 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 366 hits on the season and have an earned run average of 3.41. Opposing teams are hitting .227 against the Mets bullpen while walking 160 times and striking out 409 times. New York is averaging 8.07 strikeouts per game while getting 8.26 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 4th in baseball in team earned run average at 3.46.

New York ranks 28th in the league in team batting average at .245 while hitting .253 on the road. The Mets on-base percentage sits at .313, which puts them at 19th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .399. Curtis Granderson leads the team in hits with 139 while the team ranks 25th in baseball with 8.36 hits per game.

Cincinnati is 34-40 at home while holding a 63-87 overall record on the season. Joshua Smith is starting this game 0-2 for the season with an earned run average of 7.71 and a WHIP of 1.98. In his starts, the Reds are 1-3 and he has allowed 22 hits over 18.2 innings pitched this season. The Reds are also 4-0 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates score an average of 5 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 457 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.85. Opposing teams are hitting .238 against the Reds bullpen while walking 210 times and striking out 443 times. Cincinnati is averaging 7.56 strikeouts per game while getting 8.74 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.20.

They rank 21st in the league in team batting average with a .250 average while hitting .256 at home. The Reds on-base percentage sits at .317, which puts them at 15th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .400. Brandon Phillips leads the team in hits with 161 while the team ranks 15th in baseball with 8.6 hits a game.

In terms of team defense, the Mets have a fielding percentage of .985 with 85 total errors, 1,509 assists and 4,100 put outs. The Reds have committed 81 errors on the season with 1,533 assists and 4,038 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .986 on the year.

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 78-67 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 79-71 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 75-69 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 78-71 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

New York Mets

09/23/15 3B Juan Uribe Chest "?" Wednesday vs. Atlanta Braves
08/05/15 P Rafael Montero Rotator Cuff Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/30)
07/29/15 P Jenrry Mejia Suspension out for season
06/04/15 RF Cesar Puello Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
05/14/15 P Buddy Carlyle Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/12)
04/06/15 P Joshua Edgin Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season
04/06/15 P Zack Wheeler Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season

Cincinnati Reds

09/22/15 CF Billy Hamilton Shoulder out for season
09/22/15 CF Ryan LaMarre Hamstring out indefinitely
09/12/15 2B Kristopher Negron Shoulder out for season
06/17/15 P Jon Moscot Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/16)
06/11/15 SS Zack Cozart Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/11); out for season
05/25/15 C Devin Mesoraco Hip Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/23), out for season
04/28/15 P Homer Bailey Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26); out for season
04/04/15 P Sean Marshall Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)

Josh's Pick: Take the Mets

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