Wednesday, October 21, 2015

Wrigley Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Steven Matz (4-1) vs. Jason Hammel (10-7)

The New York Mets take on the Chicago Cubs on Wednesday at Wrigley Field in Game 4 of the NLCS. The Mets send Steven Matz to the mound to face Jason Hammel of the Cubs. The opening line for this matchup has New York at -115 and Chicago at +105. The over/under was set at 8. The Mets, with a 88-80 run line record, cover the spread 52% of the time. They also have a 86-76 over/under record. The Cubs are 85-84 against the run line and have a 74-84 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.

The Mets show up with a 95-74 record, including 43-41 on the road. Steven Matz has an earned run average of 2.66 and is 4-1 so far on the season while having a 1.28 WHIP. The Mets are 5-2 over his 40.2 innings pitched and he's also given up 40 hits over that time period. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 3-4. The team is averaging 5 runs when he starts. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 3.48 and they've given up 398 hits on the season. Teams are hitting .230 against the bullpen while being struck out 446 times and walking 170 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.21 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.33 batters per nine. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.43.

New York is batting .243 as a team, which is good for 28th in the league and hitting .252 away from home. Ranked at 22nd in the league in on-base percentage, the Mets sit at .310 and they hold a .399 team slugging percentage. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.27 hits per game and Curtis Granderson leads the team with 159.

Chicago is 51-32 at home while holding a 101-68 overall record on the season. Jason Hammel is starting this game 10-7 for the season with an earned run average of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.17. The Cubs have a record of 16-16 over the 173.2 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 161 hits. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 17-15. The team is averaging 4.3 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 3.38 and they have given up 450 hits on the season. Teams are hitting .230 against the Cubs bullpen while being struck out 511 times and walking 183 times this season. As a team, Chicago has allowed 7.82 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.92 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.38.

They are batting .243 as a team, which is good for 29th in the league and hitting .239 at home. Ranked at 13th in the league in on-base percentage, the Cubs sit at .320 and they hold a .399 team slugging percentage. They rank 29th in baseball with 8.21 hits per game and Anthony Rizzo leads the team with 167.

The Mets have committed 88 errors and have combined for 1,599 assists and 4,388 put outs leading to a .986 team fielding percentage. For the home team, they hold a .982 team fielding percentage while committing 111 errors, accumulating 1,669 assists and compiling 4,384 put outs.

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 86-76 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 88-80 against the run line so far this season

Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Chicago Cubs are 74-84 against the over/under so far this season

The Chicago Cubs are 85-84 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

New York Mets

10/20/15 P Matt Harvey Tricep "?" for next start
10/11/15 3B Ruben Tejada Knee out for season
09/26/15 3B Juan Uribe Chest out indefinitely
08/05/15 P Rafael Montero Rotator Cuff Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/30)
07/29/15 P Jenrry Mejia Suspension out for season
06/04/15 RF Cesar Puello Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
05/14/15 P Buddy Carlyle Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/12)
04/06/15 P Joshua Edgin Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season
04/06/15 P Zack Wheeler Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season

Chicago Cubs

10/15/15 SS Addison Russell Hamstring expected to miss NLCS
08/25/15 P Jason Motte Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/24)
07/29/15 P Neil Ramirez Abdominal Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/29)
04/06/15 P Jacob Turner Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)

Josh's Pick: Take the Mets

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