Tuesday, October 20, 2015

Wrigley Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jacob deGrom (16-8) vs. Kyle Hendricks (8-7)

The New York Mets take on the Chicago Cubs on Tuesday at Wrigley Field in Game 3 of the NLCS. The Mets currently lead the series 2-0. The probable starters are Jacob deGrom for the Mets and Kyle Hendricks for the Cubs. The opening line for this matchup has New York at -130 and Chicago at +120. The over/under was set at 8. The Mets have a 86-76 over/under record and a 88-80 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Cubs have a 74-84 over/under record and a 85-84 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 50% of the time.

The Mets show up with a 95-74 record, including 43-41 on the road. Starting pitcher Jacob deGrom holds a 16-8 record with an earned run average of 2.47 and a WHIP of 0.99. In his starts, the Mets are 22-10 over his 204 innings pitched this season while giving up 160 hits during those innings. The Mets are also 16-15 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 4.3 runs when he starts. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.48 and they have given up 398 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .230 against the Mets bullpen while walking 170 times and striking out 446 times. New York is averaging 8.33 strikeouts per game while getting 8.21 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 4th in baseball in team earned run average at 3.43.

New York is batting .243 as a team, which is good for 28th in the league and hitting .252 away from home. The Mets hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310 which is good for 22nd in baseball. Curtis Granderson leads the team in hits with 158 while the team ranks 27th in baseball with 8.27 hits per game.

Chicago is 51-32 at home while holding a 101-68 overall record on the season. With an earned run average of 4.00, Kyle Hendricks will come into this game holding a 8-7 record and a 1.15 WHIP. In his starts, the Cubs are 20-13 and he has allowed 170 hits over 184.2 innings pitched this season. The Cubs are also 17-16 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 4.1 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.38 and they have given up 450 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .230 against the Cubs bullpen while walking 183 times and striking out 511 times. Chicago is averaging 8.92 strikeouts per game while getting 7.82 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.38.

They are batting .243 as a team, which is good for 29th in the league and hitting .239 at home. The Cubs hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 13th in baseball. Anthony Rizzo leads the team in hits with 166 while the team ranks 29th in baseball with 8.21 hits a game.

New York has a team fielding percentage of .986 after having committed 88 errors with 1,599 assists and 4,388 put outs for the season. The Cubs have committed 111 errors on the season with 1,669 assists and 4,384 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .982 on the year.

New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 86-76 against the over/under so far this season

The New York Mets are 88-80 against the run line so far this season

Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Chicago Cubs are 74-84 against the over/under so far this season

The Chicago Cubs are 85-84 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

New York Mets

10/11/15 3B Ruben Tejada Knee out for season
09/26/15 3B Juan Uribe Chest out indefinitely
08/05/15 P Rafael Montero Rotator Cuff Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/30)
07/29/15 P Jenrry Mejia Suspension out for season
06/04/15 RF Cesar Puello Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
05/14/15 P Buddy Carlyle Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/12)
04/06/15 P Joshua Edgin Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season
04/06/15 P Zack Wheeler Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season

Chicago Cubs

10/15/15 SS Addison Russell Hamstring expected to miss NLCS
08/25/15 P Jason Motte Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/24)
07/29/15 P Neil Ramirez Abdominal Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/29)
04/06/15 P Jacob Turner Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)

Guy's Pick: Take the Cubs

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