Saturday, June 27, 2015

Miller Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Kyle Gibson (4-6) vs. Matt Garza (4-9)

The Milwaukee Brewers host the Minnesota Twins at Miller Park on Saturday. Kyle Gibson is the probable starter for the Twins and he'll face Matt Garza of the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at +106 and Milwaukee at -116. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Twins have a 34-34 over/under record and a 44-28 run line mark, meaning they cover 61% of the time. The Brewers are 31-43 against the run line and have a 37-34 over/under record. They cover the spread 42% of the time.

The Twins head into this matchup with a 39-33 record, including 14-18 on the road. Starting pitcher Kyle Gibson holds a 4-6 record with an earned run average of 3.35 and a WHIP of 1.28. In his starts, the Twins are 6-8 over his 86 innings pitched this season while giving up 82 hits during those innings. Against the over/under, the Twins are 5-7 in his starts. He is getting 3.4 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has given up 213 hits on the season and have a earned run average of 3.81. The bullpen has struck out 141 and walked 66 batters this season while opposing teams hit .258 against them. Minnesota has a team average of 9.45 hits allowed per game and are averaging 5.92 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 3.79, they are 13th in the league.

As a team, Minnesota is batting .250, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .220 average away from home. The Twins on-base percentage sits at .302, which puts them at 24th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .388. With 72 hits, Brian Dozier leads the team while his team ranks 22nd in hits per game with 8.35.

With a 13-25 home record, Milwaukee will hope to improve on their 27-47 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.48, Matt Garza will come into this game holding a 4-9 record and a 1.54 WHIP. In his starts, the Brewers are 5-9 and he has allowed 105 hits over 87 innings pitched this season. Against the over/under, the Brewers are 9-4 when he starts. He is getting 3.1 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has given up 203 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.39. The Brewers bullpen has struck out 239 batters and walked 82 this season while opposing teams have hit .231 against them. Milwaukee has a team average of 9.25 hits per game and are averaging 8.09 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.38, they are 27th in the league.

As a team, they are batting .237, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .237 average at Safeco Field. The Brewers on-base percentage sits at .288, which puts them at 30th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .377. With 67 hits, Adam Lind leads the team while his team ranks 28th in hits per game with 7.97.

In terms of team defense, the Twins have a fielding percentage of .985 with 41 total errors, 765 assists and 1,921 put outs. Over the course of this season, the Brewers have accumlated 56 errors while having 762 assists and 1,973 put outs leading to a .980 fielding percentage.

Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 34-34 against the over/under so far this season

The Minnesota Twins are 44-28 against the run line so far this season

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 37-34 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 31-43 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Minnesota Twins

06/26/15 CF Byron Buxton Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/25)
06/14/15 CF Aaron Hicks Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/13)
06/04/15 P Ricky Nolasco Ankle Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/1)
05/16/15 CF Jordan Schafer Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/16)
04/04/15 P Ervin Santana Suspension expected to miss 80 games

Milwaukee Brewers

06/04/15 P Brandon Kintzler Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/26)
05/31/15 LF Khris Davis Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/30)
05/24/15 P Wily Peralta Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23)

Guy's Pick: Take the Twins

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