Friday, September 25, 2015

Comerica Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Mike Pelfrey (6-10) vs. Matt Boyd (1-5)

The Detroit Tigers welcome the Minnesota Twins to Comerica Park on Friday. The Twins send Mike Pelfrey to the mound to face Matt Boyd of the Tigers. The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at +106 and Detroit at -116. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Twins, with a 89-62 run line record, cover the spread 59% of the time. They also have a 68-71 over/under record. The Tigers have a 82-63 over/under record and a 71-81 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 47% of the time.

The Twins head into this matchup with a 78-73 record, including 32-42 on the road. Starting pitcher Mike Pelfrey holds a 6-10 record with an earned run average of 4.16 and a WHIP of 1.45. He's pitched 158 innings thus far while surrendering 186 hits over that time and when he starts, the Twins are 14-14. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 10-15. His teammates are averaging 4.1 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.03 and they have given up 463 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .250 against the Twins bullpen while walking 149 times and striking out 359 times. Minnesota is averaging 6.44 strikeouts per game while getting 9.41 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 20th in baseball in team earned run average at 4.10.

Minnesota ranks 24th in the league in team batting average at .248 while hitting .231 on the road. The Twins hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306 which is good for 27th in baseball. Joe Mauer leads the team in hits with 147 while the team ranks 23rd in baseball with 8.4 hits per game.

With a 37-41 home record, Detroit will hope to improve on their 71-81 overall mark. With an earned run average of 7.40, Matt Boyd will come into this game holding a 1-5 record and a 1.60 WHIP. He's pitched 48.2 innings thus far while surrendering 63 hits over that time in which the Tigers are 3-7. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 5-5. His teammates score an average of 3.9 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.52 and they have given up 502 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .271 against the Tigers bullpen while walking 189 times and striking out 375 times. Detroit is averaging 6.89 strikeouts per game while getting 9.37 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.70.

They rank 2nd in the league in team batting average with a .270 average while hitting .272 at home. The Tigers hold a .420 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 3rd in baseball. Ian Kinsler leads the team in hits with 180 while the team ranks 1st in baseball with 9.41 hits a game.

Minnesota has a team fielding percentage of .986 after having committed 78 errors with 1,530 assists and 4,038 put outs for the season. The Tigers have committed 73 errors on the season with 1,531 assists and 4,108 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .987 on the year.

Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 68-71 against the over/under so far this season

The Minnesota Twins are 89-62 against the run line so far this season

Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

The Detroit Tigers are 82-63 against the over/under so far this season

The Detroit Tigers are 71-81 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Minnesota Twins

06/04/15 P Ricky Nolasco Ankle Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/1)
05/16/15 CF Jordan Schafer Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/16)

Detroit Tigers

09/24/15 P Bruce Rondon Disciplinary out for season
09/23/15 1B Miguel Cabrera Back probable Friday vs Minnesota Twins
09/04/15 SS Jose Iglesias Finger out indefinitely
08/20/15 P Anibal Sanchez Rotator Cuff Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/20)
05/08/15 P Joe Nathan Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/7), out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Tigers

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