Wednesday, September 30, 2015

Progressive Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Mike Pelfrey (6-10) vs. Carlos Carrasco (14-11)

The Minnesota Twins visit Progressive Field on Wednesday to play the Cleveland Indians. The Twins send Mike Pelfrey to the mound to face Carlos Carrasco of the Indians. The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at +172 and Cleveland at -182. The over/under was set at 8. The Twins have a 70-74 over/under record and a 92-64 run line mark, meaning they cover 59% of the time. The Indians have a 76-77 over/under record and a 75-80 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 48% of the time.

The Twins head into this matchup with a 81-75 record, including 35-43 on the road. Starting pitcher Mike Pelfrey holds a 6-10 record with an earned run average of 4.09 and a WHIP of 1.44. In his starts, the Twins are 14-15 over his 163 innings pitched this season while giving up 192 hits during those innings. The Twins are also 11-15 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 4.1 runs when he starts. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.97 and they have given up 478 base hits on the year. The bullpen has struck out 375 and walked 156 batters this season while opposing teams hit .250 against them. Minnesota has a team average of 9.41 hits allowed per game and are averaging 6.49 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.08, they are 19th in the league.

Minnesota is batting .248 as a team, which is good for 23rd in the league and hitting .231 away from home. The Twins hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306 which is good for 26th in baseball. With 152 hits, Joe Mauer leads the team while his team ranks 24th in hits per game with 8.4.

With a 35-39 home record, Cleveland will hope to improve on their 77-78 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.44, Carlos Carrasco will come into this game holding a 14-11 record and a 1.05 WHIP. In his starts, the Indians are 17-12 and he has allowed 149 hits over 180.2 innings pitched this season. The Indians are also 18-10 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 4.8 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.18 and they have given up 403 base hits on the year. The Indians bullpen has struck out 423 batters and walked 145 this season while opposing teams have hit .241 against them. Cleveland has a team average of 8.09 hits per game and are averaging 8.89 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 3.75, they are 9th in the league.

They are batting .256 as a team, which is good for 11th in the league and hitting .274 at home. The Indians hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 8th in baseball. With 166 hits, Jason Kipnis leads the team while his team ranks 13th in hits per game with 8.64.

Minnesota has a team fielding percentage of .987 after having committed 78 errors with 1,574 assists and 4,170 put outs for the season. Over the course of this season, the Indians have accumulated 77 errors while having 1,475 assists and 4,136 put outs leading to a .986 fielding percentage.

Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 70-74 against the over/under so far this season

The Minnesota Twins are 92-64 against the run line so far this season

Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

The Cleveland Indians are 76-77 against the over/under so far this season

The Cleveland Indians are 75-80 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Minnesota Twins

05/16/15 CF Jordan Schafer Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/16)

Cleveland Indians

09/29/15 LF Michael Brantley Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Tuesday vs. Minnesota Twins
09/06/15 P T.J. House Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/1)
07/08/15 P Nick Hagadone Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (7/7), out for season

Josh's Pick: Take the Indians

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