Wednesday, July 1, 2015

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Trevor May (4-6) vs. Johnny Cueto (4-5)

The Minnesota Twins take on the Cincinnati Reds on Wednesday at Great American Ball Park. Trevor May is the probable starter for the Twins and he'll face Johnny Cueto of the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at +180 and Cincinnati at -190. The over/under was set at 7. The Twins, with a 45-31 run line record, cover the spread 59% of the time. They also have a 36-35 over/under record. The Reds are 40-34 against the run line and have a 38-33 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.

The Twins show up with a 40-36 record, including 15-21 on the road. Trevor May has a 4-6 record on the season, an earned run average of 4.62 and a 1.36 WHIP. In his starts, the Twins are 6-8 over his 74 innings pitched this season while giving up 86 hits during those innings. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 8-6. His teammates are averaging 4 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 234 hits on the season and have a earned run average of 3.99. Opposing teams are hitting .260 against the Twins bullpen while walking 73 times and striking out 154 times. Minnesota is averaging 5.95 strikeouts per game while getting 9.57 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 16th in baseball in team earned run average at 3.97.

Minnesota ranks 20th in the league in team batting average at .249 while hitting .221 on the road. The Twins on-base percentage sits at .302, which puts them at 24th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .390. Brian Dozier leads the team in hits with 78 while the team ranks 22nd in baseball with 8.3 hits per game.

Cincinnati is 21-14 at home while holding a 35-40 overall record on the season. Johnny Cueto has a record of 4-5 while sporting an earned run average of 2.98 on the year with a 0.94 WHIP. In his starts, the Reds are 8-6 and he has allowed 72 hits over 96.2 innings pitched this season. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 5-7. His teammates score an average of 3.5 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 195 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.71. Opposing teams are hitting .222 against the Reds bullpen while walking 99 times and striking out 209 times. Cincinnati is averaging 7.21 strikeouts per game while getting 8.24 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 15th in the league in team earned run average at 3.89.

They rank 18th in the league in team batting average with a .250 average while hitting .262 at home. The Reds on-base percentage sits at .317, which puts them at 17th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .406. Todd Frazier leads the team in hits with 86 while the team ranks 16th in baseball with 8.6 hits a game.

In terms of team defense, the Twins have a fielding percentage of .985 with 43 total errors, 800 assists and 2,020 put outs. The Reds have committed 40 errors on the season with 782 assists and 2,025 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .986 on the year.

Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 36-35 against the over/under so far this season

The Minnesota Twins are 45-31 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 38-33 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 40-34 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Minnesota Twins

06/26/15 CF Byron Buxton Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/25)
06/14/15 CF Aaron Hicks Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/13)
06/04/15 P Ricky Nolasco Ankle Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/1)
05/16/15 CF Jordan Schafer Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/16)
04/04/15 P Ervin Santana Suspension expected to miss 80 games

Cincinnati Reds

06/29/15 2B Brandon Phillips Hand "?" Tuesday vs. Minnesota Twins
06/17/15 P Jon Moscot Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/16)
06/15/15 P Tony Cingrani Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/14)
06/11/15 SS Zack Cozart Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/11); out for season
06/05/15 P Rasiel Iglesias Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/05)
05/25/15 C Devin Mesoraco Hip Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23), out for season
04/28/15 P Homer Bailey Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26); out for season
04/04/15 P Sean Marshall Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)

Tony's Pick: Take the Twins

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