Tuesday, June 30, 2015

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Phil Hughes (6-6) vs. Anthony DeSclafani (5-5)

The Cincinnati Reds welcome the Minnesota Twins to Great American Ball Park on Tuesday. The probable starters are Phil Hughes for the Twins and Anthony DeSclafani for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at +104 and Cincinnati at -114. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Twins, with a 45-30 run line record, cover the spread 60% of the time. They also have a 35-35 over/under record. The Reds have a 37-33 over/under record and a 39-34 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 53% of the time.

The Twins come into this game with a 40-35 record, and they are 15-20 away from home. Phil Hughes has an earned run average of 4.20 and is 6-6 so far on the season while having a 1.21 WHIP. In his starts, the Twins are 7-8 over his 98.2 innings pitched this season while giving up 110 hits during those innings. Against the over/under, the Twins are 7-7 in his starts. His teammates are averaging 3.9 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 226 hits on the season and have a earned run average of 3.97. Teams are hitting .258 against the bullpen while being struck out 149 times and walking 70 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 9.46 hits per nine innings while striking out 5.94 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 3.87.

Minnesota ranks 18th in the league in team batting average at .249 while hitting .220 on the road. The Twins on-base percentage sits at .302, which puts them at 24th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .389. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.29 hits per game and Brian Dozier leads the team with 77.

With a 34-40 overall record, Cincinnati will come into this game 20-14 at home. Anthony DeSclafani is starting this game 5-5 for the season with an earned run average of 3.35 and a WHIP of 1.31. In his starts, the Reds are 8-7 and he has allowed 81 hits over 88.2 innings pitched this season. Against the over/under, the Reds are 5-8 when he starts. His teammates score an average of 4 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 195 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.79. Teams are hitting .226 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 204 times and walking 97 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 8.23 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.18 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 3.85.

They rank 20th in the league in team batting average with a .248 average while hitting .256 at home. The Reds on-base percentage sits at .313, which puts them at 18th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .404. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.49 hits per game and Todd Frazier leads the team with 85.

In terms of team defense, the Twins have a fielding percentage of .985 with 43 total errors, 793 assists and 1,996 put outs. For the home team, they hold a .986 team fielding percentage while committing 40 errors, accumulating 771 assists and compiling 1,998 put outs.

Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 35-35 against the over/under so far this season

The Minnesota Twins are 45-30 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 37-33 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 39-34 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Minnesota Twins

06/26/15 CF Byron Buxton Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/25)
06/14/15 CF Aaron Hicks Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/13)
06/04/15 P Ricky Nolasco Ankle Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/1)
05/16/15 CF Jordan Schafer Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/16)
04/04/15 P Ervin Santana Suspension expected to miss 80 games

Cincinnati Reds

06/29/15 2B Brandon Phillips Hand is not expected to be in the starting lineup Monday vs. Minnesota Twins
06/17/15 P Jon Moscot Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/16)
06/15/15 P Tony Cingrani Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/14)
06/11/15 SS Zack Cozart Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/11); out for season
06/05/15 P Rasiel Iglesias Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/05)
05/25/15 C Devin Mesoraco Hip Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23), out for season
04/28/15 P Homer Bailey Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26); out for season
04/04/15 P Sean Marshall Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)

Tony's Pick: Take the Twins

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