Monday, June 29, 2015

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Mike Pelfrey (5-4) vs. Mike Leake (5-4)

The Minnesota Twins visit Great American Ball Park on Monday to play the Cincinnati Reds. Mike Pelfrey is the probable starter for the Twins and he'll face Mike Leake of the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at +127 and Cincinnati at -137. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Twins, with a 45-29 run line record, cover the spread 61% of the time. They also have a 35-35 over/under record. The Reds are 38-34 against the run line and have a 36-32 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.

The Twins show up with a 40-34 record, including 15-19 on the road. Starting pitcher Mike Pelfrey holds a 5-4 record with an earned run average of 3.06 and a WHIP of 1.34. The Twins are 9-5 over his 85.1 innings pitched and he's also given up 88 hits over that time period. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 5-8. He is getting 3.9 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.81 and they have given up 220 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .255 against the Twins bullpen while walking 69 times and striking out 148 times. Minnesota is averaging 5.9 strikeouts per game while getting 9.46 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 15th in baseball in team earned run average at 3.85.

As a team, Minnesota is batting .249, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .220 average away from home. The Twins hold a .390 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .302 which is good for 24th in baseball. Brian Dozier leads the team in hits with 77 while the team ranks 22nd in baseball with 8.31 hits per game.

Cincinnati is 20-14 at home while holding a 34-38 overall record on the season. With an earned run average of 3.91, Mike Leake will come into this game holding a 5-4 record and a 1.21 WHIP. The Reds have a record of 6-9 over the 96.2 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 91 hits. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 9-6. He is getting 3.7 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.78 and they have given up 186 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .226 against the Reds bullpen while walking 92 times and striking out 200 times. Cincinnati is averaging 7.24 strikeouts per game while getting 8.22 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 16th in the league in team earned run average at 3.89.

As a team, they are batting .248, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .256 average at Safeco Field. The Reds hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314 which is good for 18th in baseball. Todd Frazier leads the team in hits with 83 while the team ranks 17th in baseball with 8.49 hits a game.

Minnesota has a team fielding percentage of .985 after having committed 43 errors with 786 assists and 1,972 put outs for the season. The Reds have committed 36 errors on the season with 762 assists and 1,956 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .987 on the year.

Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 35-35 against the over/under so far this season

The Minnesota Twins are 45-29 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 36-32 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 38-34 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Minnesota Twins

06/26/15 CF Byron Buxton Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/25)
06/14/15 CF Aaron Hicks Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/13)
06/04/15 P Ricky Nolasco Ankle Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/1)
05/16/15 CF Jordan Schafer Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/16)
04/04/15 P Ervin Santana Suspension expected to miss 80 games

Cincinnati Reds

06/17/15 P Jon Moscot Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/16)
06/15/15 P Tony Cingrani Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/14)
06/11/15 SS Zack Cozart Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/11); out for season
06/05/15 P Rasiel Iglesias Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/05)
05/25/15 C Devin Mesoraco Hip Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23), out for season
04/28/15 P Homer Bailey Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26); out for season
04/04/15 CF Jason Bourgeois Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)
04/04/15 P Sean Marshall Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)

Josh's Pick: Take the Twins

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