Thursday, June 4, 2015

Fenway Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Tommy Milone (2-1) vs. Steven Wright (2-2)

The Boston Red Sox host The Minnesota Twins at Fenway Park on Thursday. The Twins send Tommy Milone to the mound to face Steven Wright of the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at +130 and Boston at -150. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Twins, with a 33-17 run line record, cover the spread 65% of the time. They also have a 27-22 over/under record. The Red Sox have a 23-28 over/under record and a 20-32 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 40% of the time.

The Twins come into this game with a 30-20 record, and they are 11-13 away from home. Tommy Milone has a 2-1 record on the season, an earned run average of 4.76 and a 1.46 WHIP. The Twins are 2-2 over his 22.2 innings pitched and he's also given up 22 hits over that time period. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 3-1. His teammates are averaging 5.8 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 157 hits on the season and have a earned run average of 3.72. Opposing teams are hitting .259 against the Twins bullpen while walking 44 times and striking out 102 times. Minnesota is averaging 5.71 strikeouts per game while getting 9.52 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 15th in baseball in team earned run average at 3.87.

Minnesota ranks 11th in the league in team batting average at .255 while hitting .220 on the road. The Twins on-base percentage sits at .307, which puts them at 23rd in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .386. Joe Mauer leads the team in hits with 52 while the team ranks 13th in baseball with 8.58 hits per game.

With a 23-29 overall record, Boston will come into this game 11-12 at home. Steven Wright has a record of 2-2 while sporting an earned run average of 3.90 on the year with a 1.27 WHIP. The Red Sox have a record of 1-2 over the 27.2 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 26 hits. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 2-1. His teammates score an average of 4 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 161 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.61. Opposing teams are hitting .254 against the Red Sox bullpen while walking 60 times and striking out 134 times. Boston is averaging 7.27 strikeouts per game while getting 8.98 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.44.

They rank 23rd in the league in team batting average with a .241 average while hitting .262 at home. The Red Sox on-base percentage sits at .315, which puts them at 15th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .368. Dustin Pedroia leads the team in hits with 59 while the team ranks 21st in baseball with 8.19 hits a game.

In terms of team defense, the Twins have a fielding percentage of .983 with 31 total errors, 512 assists and 1,315 put outs. The Red Sox have committed 31 errors on the season with 534 assists and 1,365 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .984 on the year.

Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 27-22 against the over/under so far this season

The Minnesota Twins are 33-17 against the run line so far this season

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 23-28 against the over/under so far this season

The Boston Red Sox are 20-32 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Minnesota Twins

06/02/15 P Ricky Nolasco Ankle left last game, "?" Saturday vs Milwaukee Brewers
05/16/15 CF Jordan Schafer Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/16)
04/04/15 P Ervin Santana Suspension expected to miss 80 games

Boston Red Sox

05/29/15 P Brandon Workman Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/3)
05/28/15 P Anthony Varvaro Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/29)
05/28/15 RF Daniel Nava Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/26)
05/24/15 RF Shane Victorino Calf Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23)
05/13/15 P Justin Masterson Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/13)
05/02/15 C Ryan Hanigan Wrist Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/1)
04/06/15 P Edwin Escobar Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/29)
04/04/15 C Christian Vazquez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/30), out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox

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