Tuesday, June 2, 2015

Fenway Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Phil Hughes (4-4) vs. Rick Porcello (4-4)

The Boston Red Sox welcome The Minnesota Twins to Fenway Park on Tuesday. The probable starters are Phil Hughes for the Twins and Rick Porcello for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at +128 and Boston at -138. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Twins, with a 32-17 run line record, cover the spread 65% of the time. They also have a 27-21 over/under record. The Red Sox have a 23-27 over/under record and a 20-31 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 39% of the time.

The Twins come into this game with a 30-19 record, and they are 11-12 away from home. Phil Hughes has an earned run average of 4.59 and is 4-4 so far on the season while having a 1.25 WHIP. In his starts, the Twins are 4-6 over his 64.2 innings pitched this season while giving up 75 hits during those innings. Against the over/under, the Twins are 5-5 in his starts. His teammates are averaging 3.7 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 157 hits on the season and have a earned run average of 3.72. Teams are hitting .259 against the bullpen while being struck out 102 times and walking 44 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 9.57 hits per nine innings while striking out 5.77 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 3.92.

Minnesota ranks 9th in the league in team batting average at .257 while hitting .225 on the road. The Twins on-base percentage sits at .309, which puts them at 22nd in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .391. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.69 hits per game and Joe Mauer leads the team with 51.

With a 22-29 overall record, Boston will come into this game 10-12 at home. Rick Porcello is starting this game 4-4 for the season with an earned run average of 5.37 and a WHIP of 1.35. In his starts, the Red Sox are 6-4 and he has allowed 66 hits over 62 innings pitched this season. Against the over/under, the Red Sox are 6-4 when he starts. His teammates score an average of 4.5 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 161 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.61. Teams are hitting .254 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 134 times and walking 60 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.24 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.53.

They rank 23rd in the league in team batting average with a .241 average while hitting .263 at home. The Red Sox on-base percentage sits at .315, which puts them at 13th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .369. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.22 hits per game and Dustin Pedroia leads the team with 58.

In terms of team defense, the Twins have a fielding percentage of .984 with 30 total errors, 512 assists and 1,315 put outs. For the home team, they hold a .984 team fielding percentage while committing 31 errors, accumulating 534 assists and compiling 1,365 put outs.

Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 27-21 against the over/under

The Minnesota Twins are 32-17 against the run line

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 23-27 against the over/under

The Boston Red Sox are 20-31 against the run line

Injuries to Watch

Minnesota Twins

05/31/15 P Ricky Nolasco Ankle left last game, "?" next start
05/16/15 CF Jordan Schafer Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/16)
05/05/15 RF Oswaldo Arcia Hip Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/4)
04/04/15 P Ervin Santana Suspension expected to miss 80 games

Boston Red Sox

05/29/15 P Brandon Workman Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/3)
05/28/15 P Anthony Varvaro Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/29)
05/28/15 RF Daniel Nava Thumb Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/26)
05/24/15 RF Shane Victorino Calf Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23)
05/13/15 P Justin Masterson Arm Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/13)
05/02/15 C Ryan Hanigan Wrist Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/1)
04/06/15 P Edwin Escobar Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/29)
04/04/15 C Christian Vazquez Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/30), out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Twins

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