Saturday, September 12, 2015

PNC Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Zach Davies (1-0) vs. Jeff Locke (7-10)

The Pittsburgh Pirates host the Milwaukee Brewers at PNC Park on Saturday. The Brewers send Zach Davies to the mound to face Jeff Locke of the Pirates. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +161 and Pittsburgh at -171. The over/under was set at 8. The Brewers, with a 66-74 run line record, cover the spread 47% of the time. They also have a 71-60 over/under record. The Pirates are 61-78 against the run line and have a 64-63 over/under record. They cover the spread 44% of the time.

The Brewers head into this matchup with a 62-78 record, including 29-39 on the road. Zach Davies has an earned run average of 3.97 and is 1-0 so far on the season while having a 0.97 WHIP. In his starts, the Brewers are 2-0 over his 11.1 innings pitched this season while giving up 8 hits during those innings. The Brewers are also 2-0 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates are averaging 9 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 389 hits on the season and have an earned run average of 3.52. Teams are hitting .233 against the bullpen while being struck out 448 times and walking 150 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 8.96 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.82 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.23.

Milwaukee ranks 10th in the league in team batting average at .255 while hitting .257 on the road. The Brewers on-base percentage sits at .311, which puts them at 21st in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .401. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.65 hits per game and Gerardo Parra leads the team with 139.

With a 46-22 home record, Pittsburgh will hope to improve on their 83-56 overall mark. Jeff Locke is starting this game 7-10 for the season with an earned run average of 4.56 and a WHIP of 1.43. In his starts, the Pirates are 14-13 and he has allowed 161 hits over 150 innings pitched this season. The Pirates are also 14-10 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates score an average of 4 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 390 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 2.76. Teams are hitting .235 against the Pirates bullpen while being struck out 387 times and walking 138 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 8.42 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.94 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.21.

They rank 8th in the league in team batting average with a .260 average while hitting .263 at home. The Pirates on-base percentage sits at .322, which puts them at 11th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .398. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.04 hits per game and Andrew McCutchen leads the team with 145.

In terms of team defense, the Brewers have a fielding percentage of .982 with 96 total errors, 1,447 assists and 3,725 put outs. For the home team, they hold a .981 team fielding percentage while committing 103 errors, accumulating 1,621 assists and compiling 3,830 put outs.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 71-60 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 66-74 against the run line so far this season

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 64-63 against the over/under so far this season

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 61-78 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

09/10/15 C Jonathan Lucroy Concussion out indefinitely
08/14/15 P Michael Blazek Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/13)

Pittsburgh Pirates

09/11/15 1B Pedro Alvarez Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Friday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
09/11/15 LF Starling Marte Shoulder is not expected to be in the starting lineup Friday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
09/02/15 P Casey Sadler Forearm Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (9/1)
08/08/15 P Deolis Guerra Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (8/7)
07/19/15 CF Gorkys Hernandez Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/13)
06/24/15 RF Corey Hart Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/22)
05/07/15 LF Andrew Lambo Plantar Fasciitis Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/4)
04/06/15 P Brandon Cumpton Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)

Tony's Pick: Take the Pirates

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