Friday, September 11, 2015

PNC Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jimmy Nelson (11-11) vs. Charlie Morton (8-7)

The Milwaukee Brewers head to PNC Park on Friday to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Brewers send Jimmy Nelson to the mound to face Charlie Morton of the Pirates. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +157 and Pittsburgh at -167. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Brewers have a 70-60 over/under record and a 65-74 run line mark, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Pirates are 61-77 against the run line and have a 63-63 over/under record. They cover the spread 44% of the time.

The Brewers come into this game with a 61-78 record, and they are 28-39 away from home. Starting pitcher Jimmy Nelson holds a 11-11 record with an earned run average of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.27. The Brewers are 14-14 over his 170.1 innings pitched and he's also given up 154 hits over that time period. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 15-12. He is getting 4.3 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.53 and they have given up 384 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .233 against the Brewers bullpen while walking 146 times and striking out 440 times. Milwaukee is averaging 7.83 strikeouts per game while getting 8.98 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 23rd in baseball in team earned run average at 4.25.

As a team, Milwaukee is batting .255, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .257 average away from home. The Brewers hold a .401 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 21st in baseball. Gerardo Parra leads the team in hits with 139 while the team ranks 16th in baseball with 8.63 hits per game.

With a 83-55 overall record, Pittsburgh will come into this game 46-21 at home. With an earned run average of 4.07, Charlie Morton will come into this game holding a 8-7 record and a 1.30 WHIP. The Pirates have a record of 12-7 over the 112.2 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 111 hits. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 6-11. He is getting 4.2 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.75 and they have given up 381 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .234 against the Pirates bullpen while walking 134 times and striking out 376 times. Pittsburgh is averaging 7.93 strikeouts per game while getting 8.43 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.20.

As a team, they are batting .260, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .263 average at home. The Pirates hold a .398 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 11th in baseball. Andrew McCutchen leads the team in hits with 145 while the team ranks 7th in baseball with 9.03 hits a game.

Milwaukee has a team fielding percentage of .982 after having committed 96 errors with 1,427 assists and 3,686 put outs for the season. The Pirates have committed 103 errors on the season with 1,602 assists and 3,791 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .981 on the year.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 70-60 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 65-74 against the run line so far this season

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 63-63 against the over/under so far this season

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 61-77 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

09/10/15 C Jonathan Lucroy Concussion out indefinitely
08/14/15 P Michael Blazek Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/13)

Pittsburgh Pirates

09/02/15 P Casey Sadler Forearm Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (9/1)
08/08/15 P Deolis Guerra Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (8/7)
08/01/15 P A.J. Burnett Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/31), expected to be activated & start Thursday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
07/19/15 CF Gorkys Hernandez Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/13)
06/24/15 RF Corey Hart Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/22)
05/07/15 LF Andrew Lambo Plantar Fasciitis Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/4)
04/06/15 P Brandon Cumpton Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)

Tony's Pick: Take the Pirates

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