Thursday, September 10, 2015

PNC Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Wily Peralta (5-8) vs. A.J. Burnett (8-5)

The Pittsburgh Pirates welcome the Milwaukee Brewers to PNC Park on Thursday. Wily Peralta is the probable starter for the Brewers and he'll face A.J. Burnett of the Pirates. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +158 and Pittsburgh at -168. The over/under was set at 8. The Brewers have a 70-59 over/under record and a 65-73 run line mark, meaning they cover 47% of the time. The Pirates have a 62-63 over/under record and a 61-76 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 45% of the time.

The Brewers head into this matchup with a 61-77 record, including 28-38 on the road. Wily Peralta has a 5-8 record on the season, an earned run average of 4.21 and a 1.48 WHIP. In his starts, the Brewers are 8-9 over his 94 innings pitched this season while giving up 111 hits during those innings. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 9-7. The team is averaging 4.5 runs when he starts. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 3.49 and they've given up 381 hits on the season. Teams are hitting .233 against the bullpen while being struck out 437 times and walking 144 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.83 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.24.

Milwaukee is batting .256 as a team, which is good for 10th in the league and hitting .258 away from home. Ranked at 21st in the league in on-base percentage, the Brewers sit at .311 and they hold a .403 team slugging percentage. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.66 hits per game and Gerardo Parra leads the team with 138.

With a 46-21 home record, Pittsburgh will hope to improve on their 82-55 overall mark. A.J. Burnett has a record of 8-5 while sporting an earned run average of 3.06 on the year with a 1.34 WHIP. In his starts, the Pirates are 12-9 and he has allowed 145 hits over 135.1 innings pitched this season. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 11-9. The team is averaging 4.3 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 2.73 and they have given up 378 hits on the season. Teams are hitting .234 against the Pirates bullpen while being struck out 373 times and walking 131 times this season. As a team, Pittsburgh has allowed 8.44 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.89 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.19.

They are batting .260 as a team, which is good for 8th in the league and hitting .263 at home. Ranked at 11th in the league in on-base percentage, the Pirates sit at .322 and they hold a .398 team slugging percentage. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.04 hits per game and Andrew McCutchen leads the team with 145.

The Brewers have committed 96 errors and have combined for 1,415 assists and 3,662 put outs leading to a .981 team fielding percentage. For the home team, they hold a .981 team fielding percentage while committing 102 errors, accumulating 1,598 assists and compiling 3,764 put outs.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 70-59 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 65-73 against the run line so far this season

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 62-63 against the over/under so far this season

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 61-76 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

08/14/15 P Michael Blazek Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/13)

Pittsburgh Pirates

09/09/15 1B Pedro Alvarez Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Wednesday vs. Cincinnati Reds
09/02/15 P Casey Sadler Forearm Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (9/1)
08/08/15 P Deolis Guerra Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (8/7)
08/01/15 P A.J. Burnett Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/31), expected to be activated & start Thursday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
07/19/15 CF Gorkys Hernandez Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/13)
06/24/15 RF Corey Hart Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/22)
05/07/15 LF Andrew Lambo Plantar Fasciitis Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/4)
04/06/15 P Brandon Cumpton Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)

Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers

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