Tuesday, June 9, 2015

PNC Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Taylor Jungmann (0-0) vs. Francisco Liriano (3-4)

The Milwaukee Brewers visit PNC Park on Tuesday to play the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Brewers send Taylor Jungmann to the mound to face Francisco Liriano of the Pirates. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +190 and Pittsburgh at -205. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Brewers have a 29-25 over/under record and a 24-33 run line mark, meaning they cover 42% of the time. The Pirates have a 24-24 over/under record and a 29-27 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 52% of the time.

The Brewers come into this game with a 20-37 record, and they are 11-17 away from home. Taylor Jungmann is making his debut start for Milwaukee and hopes to start his career off right. The bullpen has given up 161 hits on the season and have a earned run average of 3.49. The bullpen has struck out 195 and walked 69 batters this season while opposing teams hit .230 against them. Milwaukee has a team average of 9.11 hits allowed per game and are averaging 8.35 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.43, they are 29th in the league.

As a team, Milwaukee is batting .233, good for 30th in the league while putting together a .237 average away from home. The Brewers on-base percentage sits at .287, which puts them at 30th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .379. With 53 hits, Adam Lind leads the team while his team ranks 28th in hits per game with 7.86.

The Brewers are 29-59 in their last 88 overall and 5-11 in their last 16 during game 2 of a series. They are 14-31 in their last 45 road games. The under is 6-0 in the Brewers last 6 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower and 12-3-2 in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

With a 31-25 overall record, Pittsburgh will come into this game 15-9 at home. Francisco Liriano has a record of 3-4 while sporting an earned run average of 3.24 on the year with a 1.05 WHIP. He's pitched 66.2 innings thus far while surrendering 45 hits over that time in which the Pirates are 3-8. The Pirates are also 5-3 against the over/under in his starts. He is getting 4.3 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has given up 157 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 2.71. The Pirates bullpen has struck out 152 batters and walked 53 this season while opposing teams have hit .243 against them. Pittsburgh has a team average of 8.37 hits per game and are averaging 8.25 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 3.03, they are 2nd in the league.

As a team, they are batting .255, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .258 average at Safeco Field. The Pirates on-base percentage sits at .312, which puts them at 18th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .388. With 58 hits, Andrew McCutchen leads the team while his team ranks 10th in hits per game with 8.8.

The Pirates are 11-1 in their last 12 games as a favorite and 13-3 in their last 16 overall. They are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The under is 4-0 in the Pirates last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and 5-2 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.

In terms of team defense, the Brewers have a fielding percentage of .978 with 47 total errors, 569 assists and 1,529 put outs. Over the course of this season, the Pirates have accumlated 42 errors while having 647 assists and 1,526 put outs leading to a .981 fielding percentage.

Head-to-head, the over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings while the under is 3-1-1 in Lirianos last 5 starts vs. Brewers. The Brewers are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Pittsburgh and 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 29-25 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 24-33 against the run line so far this season

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 24-24 against the over/under so far this season

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 29-27 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

06/04/15 P Brandon Kintzler Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/26)
05/31/15 LF Khris Davis Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/30)
05/24/15 P Wily Peralta Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23)

Pittsburgh Pirates

06/04/15 LF Jaff Decker Calf Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/30)
05/07/15 LF Andrew Lambo Plantar Fasciitis Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/4)
04/06/15 P Brandon Cumpton Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)
04/06/15 SS Justin Sellers Heel Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)

Guy's Pick: Take the Pirates

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn