Monday, June 8, 2015

PNC Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jimmy Nelson (2-6) vs. A.J. Burnett (6-1)

The Pittsburgh Pirates welcome the Milwaukee Brewers to PNC Park on Monday. Jimmy Nelson is the probable starter for the Brewers and he'll face A.J. Burnett of the Pirates. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +149 and Pittsburgh at -159. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Brewers, with a 24-32 run line record, cover the spread 43% of the time. They also have a 29-24 over/under record. The Pirates have a 24-23 over/under record and a 28-27 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 52% of the time.

The Brewers head into this matchup with a 20-36 record, including 11-16 on the road. Jimmy Nelson has an earned run average of 4.41 and is 2-6 so far on the season while having a 1.22 WHIP. In his starts, the Brewers are 3-8 over his 67.1 innings pitched this season while giving up 57 hits during those innings. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 6-5. The team is averaging 4.3 runs when he starts. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.49 and they have given up 161 base hits on the year. The bullpen has struck out 195 and walked 69 batters this season while opposing teams hit .230 against them. Milwaukee has a team average of 9.1 hits allowed per game and are averaging 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.47, they are 29th in the league.

Milwaukee is batting .233 as a team, which is good for 30th in the league and hitting .236 away from home. The Brewers hold a .381 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .287 which is good for 29th in baseball. With 52 hits, Adam Lind leads the team while his team ranks 28th in hits per game with 7.86.

With a 15-9 home record, Pittsburgh will hope to improve on their 30-25 overall mark. A.J. Burnett is starting this game 6-1 for the season with an earned run average of 2.20 and a WHIP of 1.22. In his starts, the Pirates are 7-4 and he has allowed 63 hits over 69.2 innings pitched this season. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 5-5. The team is averaging 4.5 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.71 and they have given up 157 base hits on the year. The Pirates bullpen has struck out 152 batters and walked 53 this season while opposing teams have hit .243 against them. Pittsburgh has a team average of 8.41 hits per game and are averaging 8.21 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 3.08, they are 2nd in the league.

They are batting .254 as a team, which is good for 11th in the league and hitting .258 at home. The Pirates hold a .389 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 19th in baseball. With 58 hits, Andrew McCutchen leads the team while his team ranks 10th in hits per game with 8.78.

Milwaukee has a team fielding percentage of .978 after having committed 47 errors with 560 assists and 1,505 put outs for the season. Over the course of this season, the Pirates have accumlated 42 errors while having 637 assists and 1,499 put outs leading to a .981 fielding percentage.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 29-24 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 24-32 against the run line so far this season

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 24-23 against the over/under so far this season

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 28-27 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

06/04/15 P Brandon Kintzler Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/26)
05/31/15 LF Khris Davis Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/30)
05/24/15 P Wily Peralta Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23)

Pittsburgh Pirates

06/04/15 LF Jaff Decker Calf Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/30)
05/07/15 LF Andrew Lambo Plantar Fasciitis Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/4)
04/06/15 P Brandon Cumpton Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)
04/06/15 SS Justin Sellers Heel Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)

Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers

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