Thursday, July 2, 2015

Citizens Bank Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Matt Garza (4-10) vs. Chad Billingsley (0-2)

The Philadelphia Phillies welcome the Milwaukee Brewers to Citizens Bank Park on Thursday. The probable starters are Matt Garza for the Brewers and Chad Billingsley for the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at -130 and Philadelphia at +120. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Brewers, with a 35-44 run line record, cover the spread 44% of the time. They also have a 39-35 over/under record. The Phillies have a 41-31 over/under record and a 37-42 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 47% of the time.

The Brewers head into this matchup with a 31-48 record, including 16-22 on the road. Matt Garza has a 4-10 record on the season, an earned run average of 5.52 and a 1.53 WHIP. The Brewers are 5-10 over his 93 innings pitched and he's also given up 110 hits over that time period. The Brewers are also 9-5 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates are averaging 3 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 3.29 and they've given up 215 hits on the season. Teams are hitting .231 against the bullpen while being struck out 254 times and walking 87 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.15 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.95 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.33.

Milwaukee ranks 26th in the league in team batting average at .241 while hitting .244 on the road. Ranked at 30th in the league in on-base percentage, the Brewers sit at .292 and they hold a .383 team slugging percentage. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.14 hits per game and Adam Lind leads the team with 73.

With a 18-23 home record, Philadelphia will hope to improve on their 27-52 overall mark. Chad Billingsley has a record of 0-2 while sporting an earned run average of 6.75 on the year with a 1.62 WHIP. The Phillies have a record of 1-2 over the 16 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 23 hits. The Phillies are also 2-1 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates score an average of 2.7 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 3.69 and they have given up 259 hits on the season. Teams are hitting .257 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 250 times and walking 121 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 9.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.48 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 4.56.

They rank 22nd in the league in team batting average with a .242 average while hitting .240 at home. Ranked at 28th in the league in on-base percentage, the Phillies sit at .293 and they hold a .358 team slugging percentage. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.2 hits per game and Ben Revere leads the team with 86.

The Brewers have committed 60 errors and have combined for 826 assists and 2,108 put outs leading to a .980 team fielding percentage. For the home team, they hold a .980 team fielding percentage while committing 59 errors, accumulating 756 assists and compiling 2,085 put outs.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 39-35 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 35-44 against the run line so far this season

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 41-31 against the over/under so far this season

The Philadelphia Phillies are 37-42 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

06/04/15 P Brandon Kintzler Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/26)
05/31/15 LF Khris Davis Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/30)
05/24/15 P Wily Peralta Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23)

Philadelphia Phillies

06/23/15 2B Chase Utley Ankle Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/22)
06/17/15 P Jerome Williams Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/17)
05/18/15 P Chad Billingsley Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/17); expected to start Thursday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
04/06/15 P Jonathan Pettibone Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)
04/06/15 P Mario Hollands Arch Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
04/04/15 P Cliff Lee Arm Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/16)

Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers

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