Wednesday, July 1, 2015

Citizens Bank Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Kyle Lohse (4-9) vs. Aaron Harang (4-10)

The Milwaukee Brewers visit Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday to play the Philadelphia Phillies. Kyle Lohse is the probable starter for the Brewers and he'll face Aaron Harang of the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at -128 and Philadelphia at +118. The over/under was set at 8. The Brewers, with a 34-44 run line record, cover the spread 44% of the time. They also have a 39-35 over/under record. The Phillies are 37-41 against the run line and have a 41-31 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.

The Brewers head into this matchup with a 30-48 record, including 15-22 on the road. Kyle Lohse has a 4-9 record on the season, an earned run average of 6.28 and a 1.35 WHIP. The Brewers are 6-10 over his 91.2 innings pitched and he's also given up 104 hits over that time period. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 9-5. The team is averaging 4.2 runs when he starts. The bullpen has given up 212 hits on the season and have a earned run average of 3.33. Opposing teams are hitting .230 against the Brewers bullpen while walking 85 times and striking out 250 times. Milwaukee is averaging 7.95 strikeouts per game while getting 9.16 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 27th in baseball in team earned run average at 4.36.

Milwaukee is batting .241 as a team, which is good for 26th in the league and hitting .243 away from home. The Brewers on-base percentage sits at .291, which puts them at 30th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .383. Adam Lind leads the team in hits with 73 while the team ranks 25th in baseball with 8.12 hits per game.

With a 18-22 home record, Philadelphia will hope to improve on their 27-51 overall mark. Aaron Harang has a record of 4-10 while sporting an earned run average of 3.56 on the year with a 1.15 WHIP. The Phillies have a record of 5-11 over the 101 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 90 hits. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 6-8. The team is averaging 2.5 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has given up 254 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.65. Opposing teams are hitting .255 against the Phillies bullpen while walking 119 times and striking out 248 times. Philadelphia is averaging 7.47 strikeouts per game while getting 9.8 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 29th in the league in team earned run average at 4.57.

They are batting .243 as a team, which is good for 24th in the league and hitting .240 at home. The Phillies on-base percentage sits at .292, which puts them at 29th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .359. Ben Revere leads the team in hits with 86 while the team ranks 23rd in baseball with 8.21 hits a game.

In terms of team defense, the Brewers have a fielding percentage of .981 with 57 total errors, 811 assists and 2,081 put outs. The Phillies have committed 59 errors on the season with 746 assists and 2,058 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .979 on the year.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 39-35 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 34-44 against the run line so far this season

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 41-31 against the over/under so far this season

The Philadelphia Phillies are 37-41 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

06/04/15 P Brandon Kintzler Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/26)
05/31/15 LF Khris Davis Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/30)
05/24/15 P Wily Peralta Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23)

Philadelphia Phillies

06/23/15 2B Chase Utley Ankle Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/22)
06/17/15 P Jerome Williams Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/17)
05/18/15 P Chad Billingsley Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/17); expected to start Thursday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
04/06/15 P Jonathan Pettibone Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)
04/06/15 P Mario Hollands Arch Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
04/04/15 P Cliff Lee Arm Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/16)

Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies

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