Monday, June 29, 2015

Citizens Bank Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jimmy Nelson (4-8) vs. Sean O'Sullivan (1-5)

The Philadelphia Phillies host the Milwaukee Brewers at Citizens Bank Park on Monday. The Brewers send Jimmy Nelson to the mound to face Sean O'Sullivan of the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at -135 and Philadelphia at +125. The over/under was set at 8. The Brewers have a 38-35 over/under record and a 32-44 run line mark, meaning they cover 42% of the time. The Phillies have a 39-30 over/under record and a 35-40 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 47% of the time.

The Brewers head into this matchup with a 28-48 record, including 14-22 on the road. Jimmy Nelson has an earned run average of 4.34 and is 4-8 so far on the season while having a 1.28 WHIP. He's pitched 91.1 innings thus far while surrendering 84 hits over that time and when he starts, the Brewers are 5-10. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 7-8. He is getting 3.8 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 3.34 and they've given up 206 hits on the season. The bullpen has struck out 243 and walked 83 batters this season while opposing teams hit .230 against them. Milwaukee has a team average of 9.19 hits allowed per game and are averaging 7.98 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.38, they are 27th in the league.

As a team, Milwaukee is batting .238, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .238 average away from home. Ranked at 30th in the league in on-base percentage, the Brewers sit at .289 and they hold a .379 team slugging percentage. With 71 hits, Adam Lind leads the team while his team ranks 28th in hits per game with 8.01.

With a 17-20 home record, Philadelphia will hope to improve on their 26-49 overall mark. Sean O'Sullivan is starting this game 1-5 for the season with an earned run average of 5.34 and a WHIP of 1.50. He's pitched 60.2 innings thus far while surrendering 74 hits over that time in which the Phillies are 5-6. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 5-5. He is getting 3.7 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 3.75 and they have given up 244 hits on the season. The Phillies bullpen has struck out 239 batters and walked 114 this season while opposing teams have hit .256 against them. Philadelphia has a team average of 9.72 hits per game and are averaging 7.46 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.58, they are 29th in the league.

As a team, they are batting .241, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .236 average at Safeco Field. Ranked at 29th in the league in on-base percentage, the Phillies sit at .291 and they hold a .359 team slugging percentage. With 85 hits, Ben Revere leads the team while his team ranks 24th in hits per game with 8.13.

The Brewers have committed 56 errors and have combined for 783 assists and 2,027 put outs leading to a .980 team fielding percentage. Over the course of this season, the Phillies have accumlated 56 errors while having 717 assists and 1,977 put outs leading to a .980 fielding percentage.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 38-35 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 32-44 against the run line so far this season

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 39-30 against the over/under so far this season

The Philadelphia Phillies are 35-40 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

06/04/15 P Brandon Kintzler Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/26)
05/31/15 LF Khris Davis Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/30)
05/24/15 P Wily Peralta Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23)

Philadelphia Phillies

06/23/15 2B Chase Utley Ankle Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/22)
06/17/15 P Jerome Williams Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/17)
05/18/15 P Chad Billingsley Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/17)
04/06/15 P Jonathan Pettibone Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)
04/06/15 P Mario Hollands Arch Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)
04/04/15 P Cliff Lee Arm Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/16)

Tony's Pick: Take the Phillies

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