Saturday, June 6, 2015

Target Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Matt Garza (3-7) vs. J.R. Graham (0-0)

The Milwaukee Brewers take on the Minnesota Twins on Saturday at Target Field. The probable starters are Matt Garza for the Brewers and J.R. Graham for the Twins. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at -110 and Minnesota at +100. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Brewers have a 28-23 over/under record and a 22-32 run line mark, meaning they cover 41% of the time. The Twins are 35-18 against the run line and have a 29-23 over/under record. They cover the spread 66% of the time.

The Brewers show up with a 18-36 record, including 9-16 on the road. Matt Garza has an earned run average of 5.52 and is 3-7 so far on the season while having a 1.53 WHIP. In his starts, the Brewers are 3-7 over his 62 innings pitched this season while giving up 66 hits during those innings. The Brewers are also 6-3 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 2.7 runs when he starts. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 3.61 and they've given up 156 hits on the season. Teams are hitting .233 against the bullpen while being struck out 188 times and walking 66 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.12 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.49 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 4.50.

Milwaukee is batting .230 as a team, which is good for 30th in the league and hitting .230 away from home. Ranked at 30th in the league in on-base percentage, the Brewers sit at .284 and they hold a .376 team slugging percentage. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.74 hits per game and Adam Lind leads the team with 48.

The Brewers are 10-22 in their last 32 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record and 21-47 in their last 68 games vs. a right-handed starter. They are 3-7 in their last 10 interleague games as an underdog.

Minnesota is 19-7 at home while holding a 32-21 overall record on the season. J.R. Graham is starting this game 0-0 for the season with an earned run average of 3.10 and a WHIP of 1.33. In his starts, the Twins are haven't won yet and he has allowed 20 hits over 20.1 innings pitched this season. The team is averaging 0 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 3.54 and they have given up 163 hits on the season. Teams are hitting .254 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 107 times and walking 45 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 9.51 hits per nine innings while striking out 5.72 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 3.81.

They are batting .252 as a team, which is good for 15th in the league and hitting .288 at home. Ranked at 24th in the league in on-base percentage, the Twins sit at .304 and they hold a .383 team slugging percentage. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.49 hits per game and Brian Dozier leads the team with 54.

The Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter and 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. The are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.

The Brewers have committed 45 errors and have combined for 538 assists and 1,451 put outs leading to a .978 team fielding percentage. For the home team, they hold a .984 team fielding percentage while committing 33 errors, accumulating 557 assists and compiling 1,417 put outs.

Head-to-head, the over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Minnesota and 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. The Brewers are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings and 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Minnesota.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 28-23 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 22-32 against the run line so far this season

Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 29-23 against the over/under so far this season

The Minnesota Twins are 35-18 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

06/04/15 P Brandon Kintzler Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/26)
06/04/15 SS Hector Gomez Concussion "?" Friday vs. Minnesota Twins
06/03/15 RF Ryan Braun Thumb out indefinitely
05/31/15 LF Khris Davis Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/30)
05/24/15 P Wily Peralta Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23)

Minnesota Twins

06/04/15 P Ricky Nolasco Ankle Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/1)
05/16/15 CF Jordan Schafer Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/16)
04/04/15 P Ervin Santana Suspension expected to miss 80 games

Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers

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