Thursday, June 18, 2015

Kauffman Stadium

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jimmy Nelson (3-7) vs. Jeremy Guthrie (4-4)

The Milwaukee Brewers visit Kauffman Stadium on Thursday to play the Kansas City Royals. The Brewers send Jimmy Nelson to the mound to face Jeremy Guthrie of the Royals. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +112 and Kansas City at -122. The over/under was set at 8. The Brewers, with a 28-38 run line record, cover the spread 42% of the time. They also have a 34-29 over/under record. The Royals have a 26-30 over/under record and a 36-25 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 59% of the time.

The Brewers head into this matchup with a 24-42 record, including 13-18 on the road. Jimmy Nelson has an earned run average of 4.60 and is 3-7 so far on the season while having a 1.29 WHIP. He's pitched 78.1 innings thus far while surrendering 71 hits over that time and when he starts, the Brewers are 4-9. The Brewers are also 7-6 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates are averaging 3.9 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.35 and they have given up 182 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .230 against the Brewers bullpen while walking 76 times and striking out 217 times. Milwaukee is averaging 8.2 strikeouts per game while getting 9.17 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 27th in baseball in team earned run average at 4.35.

Milwaukee ranks 30th in the league in team batting average at .234 while hitting .231 on the road. The Brewers hold a .374 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .285 which is good for 30th in baseball. Adam Lind leads the team in hits with 60 while the team ranks 30th in baseball with 7.88 hits per game.

With a 19-11 home record, Kansas City will hope to improve on their 36-25 overall mark. Jeremy Guthrie is starting this game 4-4 for the season with an earned run average of 5.79 and a WHIP of 1.52. He's pitched 65.1 innings thus far while surrendering 79 hits over that time in which the Royals are 7-5. The Royals are also 6-5 against the over/under in his starts. His teammates score an average of 4.5 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 1.96 and they have given up 142 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .194 against the Royals bullpen while walking 70 times and striking out 179 times. Kansas City is averaging 6.85 strikeouts per game while getting 7.88 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.38.

They rank 2nd in the league in team batting average with a .270 average while hitting .268 at home. The Royals hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318 which is good for 14th in baseball. Mike Moustakas leads the team in hits with 70 while the team ranks 4th in baseball with 9.23 hits a game.

Milwaukee has a team fielding percentage of .979 after having committed 53 errors with 670 assists and 1,769 put outs for the season. The Royals have committed 33 errors on the season with 586 assists and 1,620 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .985 on the year.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 34-29 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 28-38 against the run line so far this season

Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

The Kansas City Royals are 26-30 against the over/under so far this season

The Kansas City Royals are 36-25 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

06/16/15 CF Carlos Gomez Leg "?" Wednesday vs. Kansas City Royals
06/04/15 P Brandon Kintzler Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/26)
05/31/15 LF Khris Davis Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/30)
05/24/15 P Wily Peralta Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23)

Kansas City Royals

06/14/15 P Yordano Ventura Hand probable for next scheduled start Friday vs. Boston Red Sox
05/25/15 P Danny Duffy Bicep Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23)
05/17/15 P Brian Flynn Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/16)
04/06/15 P Tim Collins Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/6)
04/04/15 P Kris Medlen Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/07)

Guy's Pick: Take the Royals

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