Wednesday, August 26, 2015

Progressive Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jimmy Nelson (10-9) vs. Carlos Carrasco (12-9)

The Cleveland Indians host the Milwaukee Brewers at Progressive Field on Wednesday. Jimmy Nelson is the probable starter for the Brewers and he'll face Carlos Carrasco of the Indians. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +155 and Cleveland at -165. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Brewers have a 59-57 over/under record and a 57-68 run line mark, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Indians have a 60-63 over/under record and a 56-68 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 45% of the time.

The Brewers come into this game with a 53-72 record, and they are 25-34 away from home. Jimmy Nelson has an earned run average of 3.60 and is 10-9 so far on the season while having a 1.22 WHIP. In his starts, the Brewers are 13-12 over his 155 innings pitched this season while giving up 137 hits during those innings. Against the over/under, the Brewers are 12-12 in his starts. The team is averaging 4.3 runs when he starts. The bullpen has given up 330 hits on the season and have an earned run average of 3.46. Teams are hitting .229 against the bullpen while being struck out 401 times and walking 131 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 8.92 hits per nine innings while striking out 8 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.20.

Milwaukee is batting .251 as a team, which is good for 19th in the league and hitting .254 away from home. The Brewers on-base percentage sits at .305, which puts them at 23rd in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .392. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.45 hits per game and Gerardo Parra leads the team with 131.

With a 58-66 overall record, Cleveland will come into this game 24-34 at home. Carlos Carrasco is starting this game 12-9 for the season with an earned run average of 3.53 and a WHIP of 1.06. In his starts, the Indians are 15-10 and he has allowed 135 hits over 158 innings pitched this season. Against the over/under, the Indians are 16-9 when he starts. The team is averaging 4.7 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has given up 322 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.32. Teams are hitting .244 against the Indians bullpen while being struck out 337 times and walking 119 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 8.16 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 3.84.

They are batting .253 as a team, which is good for 15th in the league and hitting .267 at home. The Indians on-base percentage sits at .323, which puts them at 7th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .388. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.57 hits per game and Jason Kipnis leads the team with 137.

In terms of team defense, the Brewers have a fielding percentage of .981 with 90 total errors, 1,265 assists and 3,323 put outs. For the home team, they hold a .985 team fielding percentage while committing 67 errors, accumulating 1175 assists and compiling 3,316 put outs.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 59-57 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 57-68 against the run line so far this season

Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

The Cleveland Indians are 60-63 against the over/under so far this season

The Cleveland Indians are 56-68 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

08/21/15 P Tyler Cravy Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list
08/14/15 P Michael Blazek Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/13)

Cleveland Indians

08/19/15 3B Chris Johnson Infection Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/15)
08/08/15 P Cody Anderson Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/8)
07/08/15 P Nick Hagadone Back Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/7), out for season
04/05/15 P Gavin Floyd Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/6)

Guy's Pick: Take the Indians

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn