Friday, September 4, 2015

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Matt Garza (6-14) vs. Keyvius Sampson (2-2)

The Cincinnati Reds host the Milwaukee Brewers at Great American Ball Park on Friday. The probable starters are Matt Garza for the Brewers and Keyvius Sampson for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +114 and Cincinnati at -124. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Brewers, with a 61-71 run line record, cover the spread 46% of the time. They also have a 64-59 over/under record. The Reds have a 63-63 over/under record and a 68-63 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 52% of the time.

The Brewers show up with a 57-75 record, including 25-36 on the road. Matt Garza has an earned run average of 5.56 and is 6-14 so far on the season while having a 1.54 WHIP. The Brewers are 8-16 over his 144 innings pitched and he's also given up 169 hits over that time period. The Brewers are also 14-8 against the over/under in his starts. He is getting 3.8 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has given up 359 hits on the season and have an earned run average of 3.56. Teams are hitting .233 against the bullpen while being struck out 420 times and walking 137 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 8.98 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.93 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.25.

As a team, Milwaukee is batting .252, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .252 average away from home. The Brewers on-base percentage sits at .307, which puts them at 23rd in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .397. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.51 hits per game and Gerardo Parra leads the team with 134.

Cincinnati is 29-35 at home while holding a 55-77 overall record on the season. Keyvius Sampson is starting this game 2-2 for the season with an earned run average of 6.43 and a WHIP of 1.79. The Reds have a record of 4-2 over the 28 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 37 hits. The Reds are also 3-3 against the over/under in his starts. He is getting 6.8 runs from the team when he takes the mound. The bullpen has given up 391 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.83. Teams are hitting .238 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 371 times and walking 178 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 8.61 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.51 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.17.

As a team, they are batting .250, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .257 average at home. The Reds on-base percentage sits at .314, which puts them at 16th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .399. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.6 hits per game and Joey Votto leads the team with 143.

In terms of team defense, the Brewers have a fielding percentage of .981 with 93 total errors, 1,347 assists and 3,506 put outs. For the home team, they hold a .987 team fielding percentage while committing 65 errors, accumulating 1,345 assists and compiling 3,564 put outs.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 64-59 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 61-71 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 63-63 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 68-63 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

08/21/15 P Tyler Cravy Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/19)
08/14/15 P Michael Blazek Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/13)

Cincinnati Reds

08/31/15 CF Brennan Boesch Ankle Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/23)
08/23/15 P Manny Parra Bicep Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/19)
08/19/15 CF Billy Hamilton Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/19)
06/17/15 P Jon Moscot Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/16)
06/11/15 SS Zack Cozart Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/11); out for season
05/25/15 C Devin Mesoraco Hip Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/23), out for season
04/28/15 P Homer Bailey Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26); out for season
04/04/15 P Sean Marshall Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)

Josh's Pick: Take the Brewers

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