Sunday, July 5, 2015

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Taylor Jungmann (2-1) vs. Mike Leake (5-4)

The Milwaukee Brewers head to Great American Ball Park on Sunday to take on the Cincinnati Reds. The Brewers send Taylor Jungmann to the mound to face Mike Leake of the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +112 and Cincinnati at -122. The over/under was set at 8. The Brewers have a 42-35 over/under record and a 37-45 run line mark, meaning they cover 45% of the time. The Reds are 40-37 against the run line and have a 40-34 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.

The Brewers head into this matchup with a 34-48 record, including 19-22 on the road. Starting pitcher Taylor Jungmann holds a 2-1 record with an earned run average of 2.79 and a WHIP of 1.21. The Brewers are 3-2 over his 29 innings pitched and he's also given up 27 hits over that time period. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 1-3. His teammates are averaging 3.4 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.34 and they have given up 225 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .232 against the Brewers bullpen while walking 91 times and striking out 261 times. Milwaukee is averaging 7.84 strikeouts per game while getting 9.18 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 27th in baseball in team earned run average at 4.32.

Milwaukee ranks 21st in the league in team batting average at .248 while hitting .257 on the road. The Brewers hold a .391 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .298 which is good for 25th in baseball. Ryan Braun leads the team in hits with 79 while the team ranks 19th in baseball with 8.44 hits per game.

With a 22-16 home record, Cincinnati will hope to improve on their 36-42 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.38, Mike Leake will come into this game holding a 5-4 record and a 1.26 WHIP. The Reds have a record of 7-9 over the 100.2 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 100 hits. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 10-6. His teammates score an average of 4.2 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.99 and they have given up 210 base hits on the year. Opposing teams are hitting .230 against the Reds bullpen while walking 105 times and striking out 215 times. Cincinnati is averaging 7.24 strikeouts per game while getting 8.37 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.01.

They rank 18th in the league in team batting average with a .250 average while hitting .260 at home. The Reds hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315 which is good for 16th in baseball. Todd Frazier leads the team in hits with 87 while the team ranks 16th in baseball with 8.55 hits a game.

Milwaukee has a team fielding percentage of .980 after having committed 63 errors with 852 assists and 2,195 put outs for the season. The Reds have committed 43 errors on the season with 818 assists and 2,106 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .986 on the year.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 42-35 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 37-45 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 40-34 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 40-37 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

06/04/15 P Brandon Kintzler Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/26)
05/31/15 LF Khris Davis Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/30)
05/24/15 P Wily Peralta Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23)

Cincinnati Reds

06/17/15 P Jon Moscot Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/16)
06/15/15 P Tony Cingrani Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/14)
06/11/15 SS Zack Cozart Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/11); out for season
06/05/15 P Rasiel Iglesias Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/05)
05/25/15 C Devin Mesoraco Hip Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23), out for season
04/28/15 P Homer Bailey Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26); out for season
04/04/15 P Sean Marshall Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)

Josh's Pick: Take the Brewers

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