Saturday, July 4, 2015

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jimmy Nelson (5-8) vs. Joshua Smith (0-1)

The Milwaukee Brewers head to Great American Ball Park on Saturday to take on the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Jimmy Nelson for the Brewers and Joshua Smith for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at -107 and Cincinnati at -103. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Brewers, with a 36-45 run line record, cover the spread 44% of the time. They also have a 41-35 over/under record. The Reds are 40-36 against the run line and have a 39-34 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.

The Brewers show up with a 33-48 record, including 18-22 on the road. Jimmy Nelson has an earned run average of 4.48 and is 5-8 so far on the season while having a 1.30 WHIP. The Brewers are 6-10 over his 96.1 innings pitched and he's also given up 90 hits over that time period. Against the over/under, the Brewers are 8-8 in his starts. The team is averaging 4 runs when he starts. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.34 and they have given up 222 base hits on the year. The bullpen has struck out 261 and walked 90 batters this season while opposing teams hit .231 against them. Milwaukee has a team average of 9.22 hits allowed per game and are averaging 7.91 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.36, they are 27th in the league.

Milwaukee is batting .246 as a team, which is good for 21st in the league and hitting .253 away from home. The Brewers hold a .386 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .295 which is good for 27th in baseball. With 77 hits, Adam Lind leads the team while his team ranks 21st in hits per game with 8.35.

Cincinnati is 22-15 at home while holding a 36-41 overall record on the season. Joshua Smith is starting this game 0-1 for the season with an earned run average of 5.62 and a WHIP of 2.12. The Reds have a record of 0-2 over the 8 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 7 hits. Against the over/under, the Reds are 2-0 when he starts. The team is averaging 4 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.73 and they have given up 199 base hits on the year. The Reds bullpen has struck out 214 batters and walked 101 this season while opposing teams have hit .224 against them. Cincinnati has a team average of 8.27 hits per game and are averaging 7.29 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 3.91, they are 16th in the league.

They are batting .250 as a team, which is good for 19th in the league and hitting .262 at home. The Reds hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316 which is good for 18th in baseball. With 87 hits, Todd Frazier leads the team while his team ranks 16th in hits per game with 8.58.

Milwaukee has a team fielding percentage of .980 after having committed 62 errors with 842 assists and 2,168 put outs for the season. Over the course of this season, the Reds have accumlated 42 errors while having 804 assists and 2,079 put outs leading to a .986 fielding percentage.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 41-35 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 36-45 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 39-34 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 40-36 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

06/04/15 P Brandon Kintzler Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/26)
05/31/15 LF Khris Davis Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/30)
05/24/15 P Wily Peralta Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23)

Cincinnati Reds

06/17/15 P Jon Moscot Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/16)
06/15/15 P Tony Cingrani Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/14)
06/11/15 SS Zack Cozart Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/11); out for season
06/05/15 P Rasiel Iglesias Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/05)
05/25/15 C Devin Mesoraco Hip Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23), out for season
04/28/15 P Homer Bailey Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26); out for season
04/04/15 P Sean Marshall Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)

Josh's Pick: Take the Brewers

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