Friday, July 3, 2015

Great American Ball Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Mike Fiers (3-7) vs. Michael Lorenzen (3-2)

The Cincinnati Reds host the Milwaukee Brewers at Great American Ball Park on Friday. The probable starters are Mike Fiers for the Brewers and Michael Lorenzen for the Reds. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +103 and Cincinnati at -113. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Brewers, with a 36-44 run line record, cover the spread 45% of the time. They also have a 40-35 over/under record. The Reds have a 39-34 over/under record and a 40-36 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 53% of the time.

The Brewers head into this matchup with a 32-48 record, including 17-22 on the road. Mike Fiers has an earned run average of 4.14 and is 3-7 so far on the season while having a 1.47 WHIP. The Brewers are 7-9 over his 87 innings pitched and he's also given up 95 hits over that time period. The Brewers are also 6-9 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 3.4 runs when he starts. The bullpen has given up 216 hits on the season and have a earned run average of 3.29. Teams are hitting .230 against the bullpen while being struck out 256 times and walking 88 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.16 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.93 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.34.

Milwaukee is batting .244 as a team, which is good for 21st in the league and hitting .249 away from home. The Brewers on-base percentage sits at .294, which puts them at 28th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .386. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.25 hits per game and Adam Lind leads the team with 75.

With a 22-15 home record, Cincinnati will hope to improve on their 36-41 overall mark. Michael Lorenzen is starting this game 3-2 for the season with an earned run average of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.45. The Reds have a record of 5-5 over the 61.1 innings he's pitched during which he's given up 56 hits. The Reds are also 5-5 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 4.4 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has given up 199 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.73. Teams are hitting .224 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 214 times and walking 101 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 8.27 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.29 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 3.91.

They are batting .250 as a team, which is good for 18th in the league and hitting .261 at home. The Reds on-base percentage sits at .316, which puts them at 19th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .404. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.57 hits per game and Todd Frazier leads the team with 87.

In terms of team defense, the Brewers have a fielding percentage of .980 with 62 total errors, 830 assists and 2,135 put outs. For the home team, they hold a .986 team fielding percentage while committing 42 errors, accumulating 804 assists and compiling 2,079 put outs.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 40-35 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 36-44 against the run line so far this season

Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 39-34 against the over/under so far this season

The Cincinnati Reds are 40-36 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

06/04/15 P Brandon Kintzler Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/26)
05/31/15 LF Khris Davis Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/30)
05/24/15 P Wily Peralta Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23)

Cincinnati Reds

06/17/15 P Jon Moscot Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/16)
06/15/15 P Tony Cingrani Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/14)
06/11/15 SS Zack Cozart Knee Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (6/11); out for season
06/05/15 P Rasiel Iglesias Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/05)
05/25/15 C Devin Mesoraco Hip Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23), out for season
04/28/15 P Homer Bailey Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/26); out for season
04/04/15 P Sean Marshall Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/5)

Josh's Pick: Take the Brewers

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