Monday, September 21, 2015

Wrigley Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Wily Peralta (5-9) vs. Jason Hammel (8-6)

The Chicago Cubs host the Milwaukee Brewers at Wrigley Field on Monday. Wily Peralta is the probable starter for the Brewers and he'll face Jason Hammel of the Cubs. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +174 and Chicago at -184. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Brewers, with a 68-80 run line record, cover the spread 46% of the time. They also have a 77-62 over/under record. The Cubs have a 68-71 over/under record and a 73-75 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 49% of the time.

The Brewers come into this game with a 62-86 record, and they are 29-42 away from home. Starting pitcher Wily Peralta holds a 5-9 record with an earned run average of 4.41 and a WHIP of 1.49. He's pitched 104 innings thus far while surrendering 122 hits over that time and when he starts, the Brewers are 9-10. Against the over/under, the Brewers are 11-7 in his starts. His teammates are averaging 4.5 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 3.54 and they've given up 430 hits on the season. The bullpen has struck out 494 and walked 165 batters this season while opposing teams hit .235 against them. Milwaukee has a team average of 9.01 hits allowed per game and are averaging 7.88 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.32, they are 25th in the league.

Milwaukee ranks 12th in the league in team batting average at .255 while hitting .257 on the road. Ranked at 22nd in the league in on-base percentage, the Brewers sit at .310 and they hold a .401 team slugging percentage. With 145 hits, Gerardo Parra leads the team while his team ranks 15th in hits per game with 8.64.

With a 87-61 overall record, Chicago will come into this game 45-28 at home. With an earned run average of 3.73, Jason Hammel will come into this game holding a 8-6 record and a 1.15 WHIP. He's pitched 156.2 innings thus far while surrendering 141 hits over that time in which the Cubs are 13-15. Against the over/under, the Cubs are 14-14 when he starts. His teammates score an average of 4.2 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 3.50 and they have given up 427 hits on the season. The Cubs bullpen has struck out 471 batters and walked 170 this season while opposing teams have hit .234 against them. Chicago has a team average of 8.12 hits per game and are averaging 8.71 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 3.52, they are 5th in the league.

They rank 28th in the league in team batting average with a .245 average while hitting .239 at home. Ranked at 14th in the league in on-base percentage, the Cubs sit at .321 and they hold a .402 team slugging percentage. With 151 hits, Anthony Rizzo leads the team while his team ranks 27th in hits per game with 8.31.

The Brewers have committed 108 errors and have combined for 1,527 assists and 3,942 put outs leading to a .981 team fielding percentage. Over the course of this season, the Cubs have accumulated 100 errors while having 1,532 assists and 4,000 put outs leading to a .982 fielding percentage.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 77-62 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 68-80 against the run line so far this season

Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Chicago Cubs are 68-71 against the over/under so far this season

The Chicago Cubs are 73-75 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

09/17/15 P Jimmy Nelson Head out indefinitely
09/17/15 P Matt Garza Personal out for season
09/10/15 C Jonathan Lucroy Concussion out indefinitely
08/14/15 P Michael Blazek Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/13)

Chicago Cubs

08/25/15 P Jason Motte Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/24)
07/29/15 P Neil Ramirez Abdominal Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/29)
04/06/15 P Jacob Turner Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27)

Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers

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