Friday, July 24, 2015

Chase Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jimmy Nelson (7-9) vs. Patrick Corbin (1-2)

The Milwaukee Brewers visit Chase Field on Friday to play the Arizona Diamondbacks. Jimmy Nelson is the probable starter for the Brewers and he'll face Patrick Corbin of the Diamondbacks. The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +124 and Arizona at -134. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Brewers have a 48-42 over/under record and a 46-49 run line mark, meaning they cover 48% of the time. The Diamondbacks have a 47-41 over/under record and a 48-45 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 52% of the time.

The Brewers come into this game with a 42-53 record, and they are 22-24 away from home. Jimmy Nelson has an earned run average of 4.29 and is 7-9 so far on the season while having a 1.31 WHIP. He's pitched 115.1 innings thus far while surrendering 110 hits over that time and when he starts, the Brewers are 8-11. The Brewers are also 10-9 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 4.3 runs when he starts. The bullpen has given up 251 hits on the season and have a earned run average of 3.25. Teams are hitting .230 against the bullpen while being struck out 293 times and walking 104 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.04 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.81 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.14.

Milwaukee is batting .254 as a team, which is good for 12th in the league and hitting .261 away from home. The Brewers on-base percentage sits at .308, which puts them at 22nd in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .401. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.63 hits per game and Gerardo Parra leads the team with 94.

With a 43-50 overall record, Arizona will come into this game 23-26 at home. Patrick Corbin is starting this game 1-2 for the season with an earned run average of 4.80 and a WHIP of 1.20. He's pitched 15 innings thus far while surrendering 16 hits over that time in which the Diamondbacks are 1-2. The Diamondbacks are also 1-2 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 3.3 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has given up 298 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.38. Teams are hitting .242 against the Diamondbacks bullpen while being struck out 273 times and walking 123 times this season. As a team, Arizona has allowed 8.96 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.03 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18.

They are batting .261 as a team, which is good for 6th in the league and hitting .263 at home. The Diamondbacks on-base percentage sits at .322, which puts them at 9th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .400. They rank 5th in baseball with 9.12 hits per game and Paul Goldschmidt leads the team with 113.

In terms of team defense, the Brewers have a fielding percentage of .979 with 74 total errors, 980 assists and 2,540 put outs. For the home team, they hold a .987 team fielding percentage while committing 45 errors, accumulating 980 assists and compiling 2,542 put outs.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 48-42 against the over/under so far this season

The Milwaukee Brewers are 46-49 against the run line so far this season

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 47-41 against the over/under so far this season

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 48-45 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers

06/04/15 P Brandon Kintzler Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/26)
05/24/15 P Wily Peralta Oblique Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/23)

Arizona Diamondbacks

07/23/15 LF David Peralta Head injured last game, "?" Thursday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
07/20/15 P Chase Anderson Tricep Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/19)
07/17/15 C Jarrod Saltalamacchia Neck Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/12)
06/04/15 P Archie Bradley Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/4)
05/30/15 C Tuffy Gosewisch Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (5/28), out for season
04/22/15 C Gerald Laird Back Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/9)
04/05/15 P David Hernandez Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (3/27)

Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn