Sunday, September 20, 2015

Nationals Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Justin Nicolino (3-3) vs. Stephen Strasburg (9-7)

The Miami Marlins visit Nationals Park on Sunday to play the Washington Nationals. Justin Nicolino is the probable starter for the Marlins and he'll face Stephen Strasburg of the Nationals. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +238 and Washington at -261. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Marlins, with a 75-73 run line record, cover the spread 51% of the time. They also have a 69-71 over/under record. The Nationals have a 79-61 over/under record and a 64-83 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 44% of the time.

The Marlins come into this game with a 64-84 record, and they are 28-45 away from home. Justin Nicolino has an earned run average of 3.81 and is 3-3 so far on the season while having a 1.33 WHIP. He's pitched 54.1 innings thus far while surrendering 57 hits over that time and when he starts, the Marlins are 4-5. The Marlins are also 3-4 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 3.4 runs when he starts. The bullpen has given up 415 hits on the season and have an earned run average of 3.45. The bullpen has struck out 458 and walked 192 batters this season while opposing teams hit .233 against them. Miami has a team average of 8.57 hits allowed per game and are averaging 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 3.92, they are 13th in the league.

Miami is batting .258 as a team, which is good for 9th in the league and hitting .260 away from home. The Marlins on-base percentage sits at .308, which puts them at 25th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .381. With 185 hits, Dee Gordon leads the team while his team ranks 14th in hits per game with 8.67.

With a 76-71 overall record, Washington will come into this game 42-30 at home. Stephen Strasburg is starting this game 9-7 for the season with an earned run average of 3.98 and a WHIP of 1.16. He's pitched 106.1 innings thus far while surrendering 100 hits over that time in which the Nationals are 11-9. The Nationals are also 11-9 against the over/under in his starts. The team is averaging 4.5 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen has given up 400 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.55. The Nationals bullpen has struck out 389 batters and walked 127 this season while opposing teams have hit .243 against them. Washington has a team average of 8.76 hits per game and are averaging 8.31 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 3.73, they are 9th in the league.

They are batting .254 as a team, which is good for 12th in the league and hitting .257 at home. The Nationals on-base percentage sits at .324, which puts them at 7th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .408. With 162 hits, Bryce Harper leads the team while his team ranks 18th in hits per game with 8.55.

In terms of team defense, the Marlins have a fielding percentage of .987 with 70 total errors, 1,451 assists and 3,915 put outs. Over the course of this season, the Nationals have accumulated 83 errors while having 1,384 assists and 3,899 put outs leading to a .985 fielding percentage.

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 69-71 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 75-73 against the run line so far this season

Washington Nationals Betting Trends

The Washington Nationals are 79-61 against the over/under so far this season

The Washington Nationals are 64-83 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Miami Marlins

09/18/15 3B Martin Prado Wrist "?" Saturday vs. Washington Nationals
09/09/15 SS Adeiny Hechavarria Hamstring out indefinitely
08/26/15 P Kendry Flores Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/22)
08/17/15 P David Phelps Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/16)
08/04/15 P Carter Capps Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/3)
07/10/15 2B Jeff Baker Side Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/8)
07/01/15 RF Giancarlo Stanton Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/21)
06/04/15 P Henderson Alvarez Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/22); out for season
04/14/15 3B Don Kelly Finger Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/13), out for season
04/08/15 P Aaron Crow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/29); out for season

Washington Nationals

09/15/15 1B Ryan Zimmerman Oblique out indefinitely
09/12/15 P Drew Storen Thumb out for season
08/28/15 CF Denard Span Hip Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/27); out for season
08/10/15 P Aaron Barrett Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (8/9)
04/30/15 LF Reed Johnson Calf Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/29)
04/15/15 P Craig Stammen Forearm Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/14)
04/06/15 LF Nate McLouth Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Nationals

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