Saturday, September 19, 2015

Nationals Park

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Justin Nicolino (3-3) vs. Jordan Zimmermann (12-8)

The Washington Nationals host the Miami Marlins at Nationals Park on Saturday. Justin Nicolino is the probable starter for the Marlins and he'll face Jordan Zimmermann of the Nationals. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +185 and Washington at -200. The over/under was set at 8. The Marlins, with a 74-73 run line record, cover the spread 50% of the time. They also have a 68-71 over/under record. The Nationals are 64-82 against the run line and have a 78-61 over/under record. They cover the spread 44% of the time.

The Marlins show up with a 64-83 record, including 28-44 on the road. Justin Nicolino has an earned run average of 3.81 and is 3-3 so far on the season while having a 1.33 WHIP. In his starts, the Marlins are 4-5 over his 54.1 innings pitched this season while giving up 57 hits during those innings. Against the over/under, the Marlins are 3-4 in his starts. His teammates are averaging 3.4 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 411 hits on the season and have an earned run average of 3.42. Opposing teams are hitting .233 against the Marlins bullpen while walking 188 times and striking out 455 times. Miami is averaging 7.27 strikeouts per game while getting 8.57 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 13th in baseball in team earned run average at 3.92.

Miami ranks 9th in the league in team batting average at .258 while hitting .260 on the road. The Marlins on-base percentage sits at .308, which puts them at 25th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .380. Dee Gordon leads the team in hits with 184 while the team ranks 13th in baseball with 8.67 hits per game.

Washington is 41-30 at home while holding a 75-71 overall record on the season. Jordan Zimmermann is starting this game 12-8 for the season with an earned run average of 3.51 and a WHIP of 1.20. In his starts, the Nationals are 18-12 and he has allowed 186 hits over 184.2 innings pitched this season. Against the over/under, the Nationals are 18-11 when he starts. His teammates score an average of 5.1 runs a game when he pitches. The bullpen has given up 396 hits on the season and have a team earned run average of 3.55. Opposing teams are hitting .242 against the Nationals bullpen while walking 126 times and striking out 384 times. Washington is averaging 8.3 strikeouts per game while getting 8.77 hits per nine innings as a team. They rank 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.73.

They rank 13th in the league in team batting average with a .254 average while hitting .257 at home. The Nationals on-base percentage sits at .324, which puts them at 8th in the league and they have a team slugging percentage of .408. Bryce Harper leads the team in hits with 161 while the team ranks 19th in baseball with 8.55 hits a game.

In terms of team defense, the Marlins have a fielding percentage of .987 with 70 total errors, 1,442 assists and 3,886 put outs. The Nationals have committed 81 errors on the season with 1,376 assists and 3,869 put outs leading to a team fielding percentage of .985 on the year.

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 68-71 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 74-73 against the run line so far this season

Washington Nationals Betting Trends

The Washington Nationals are 78-61 against the over/under so far this season

The Washington Nationals are 64-82 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Miami Marlins

09/09/15 SS Adeiny Hechavarria Hamstring out indefinitely
08/26/15 P Kendry Flores Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/22)
08/17/15 P David Phelps Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/16)
08/04/15 P Carter Capps Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/3)
07/10/15 2B Jeff Baker Side Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/8)
07/01/15 RF Giancarlo Stanton Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/21)
06/04/15 P Henderson Alvarez Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/22); out for season
04/14/15 3B Don Kelly Finger Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/13), out for season
04/08/15 P Aaron Crow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/29); out for season

Washington Nationals

09/15/15 1B Ryan Zimmerman Oblique out indefinitely
09/12/15 P Drew Storen Thumb out for season
08/28/15 CF Denard Span Hip Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/27); out for season
08/10/15 P Aaron Barrett Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (8/9)
04/30/15 LF Reed Johnson Calf Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/29)
04/15/15 P Craig Stammen Forearm Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/14)
04/06/15 LF Nate McLouth Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season

Tony's Pick: Take the Nationals

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