Wednesday, September 30, 2015

Tropicana Field

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

Probable Pitchers: Jarred Cosart (2-4) vs. Drew Smyly (4-2)

The Tampa Bay Rays welcome the Miami Marlins to Tropicana Field on Wednesday. The Marlins send Jarred Cosart to the mound to face Drew Smyly of the Rays. The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +131 and Tampa Bay at -141. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Marlins have a 74-74 over/under record and a 77-79 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Rays have a 70-74 over/under record and a 85-71 run line mark, which means they are covering the spread 55% of the time.

The Marlins head into this matchup with a 69-87 record, including 28-47 on the road. Starting pitcher Jarred Cosart holds a 2-4 record with an earned run average of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.34. In his starts, the Marlins are 6-6 over his 65 innings pitched this season while giving up 58 hits during those innings. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 5-6. The team is averaging 2.8 runs when he starts. The bullpen's earned run average is currently 3.60 and they've given up 442 hits on the season. The bullpen has struck out 481 and walked 207 batters this season while opposing teams hit .234 against them. Miami has a team average of 8.59 hits allowed per game and are averaging 7.24 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 4.01, they are 17th in the league.

Miami is batting .260 as a team, which is good for 9th in the league and hitting .260 away from home. Ranked at 23rd in the league in on-base percentage, the Marlins sit at .310 and they hold a .385 team slugging percentage. With 196 hits, Dee Gordon leads the team while his team ranks 10th in hits per game with 8.76.

With a 36-39 home record, Tampa Bay will hope to improve on their 75-81 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.26, Drew Smyly will come into this game holding a 4-2 record and a 1.19 WHIP. In his starts, the Rays are 7-4 and he has allowed 55 hits over 60.2 innings pitched this season. Their record against the over/under when he starts is 4-6. The team is averaging 4.9 runs when he takes the field. The bullpen's earned run average is currently at 3.85 and they have given up 461 hits on the season. The Rays bullpen has struck out 490 batters and walked 191 this season while opposing teams have hit .234 against them. Tampa Bay has a team average of 8.09 hits per game and are averaging 8.44 strikeouts per nine innings. With a team earned run average of 3.76, they are 10th in the league.

They are batting .251 as a team, which is good for 18th in the league and hitting .245 at home. Ranked at 19th in the league in on-base percentage, the Rays sit at .314 and they hold a .403 team slugging percentage. With 156 hits, Evan Longoria leads the team while his team ranks 19th in hits per game with 8.51.

The Marlins have committed 73 errors and have combined for 1,538 assists and 4,131 put outs leading to a .987 team fielding percentage. Over the course of this season, the Rays have accumulated 92 errors while having 1,345 assists and 4,198 put outs leading to a .984 fielding percentage.

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 74-74 against the over/under so far this season

The Miami Marlins are 77-79 against the run line so far this season

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Rays are 70-74 against the over/under so far this season

The Tampa Bay Rays are 85-71 against the run line so far this season

Injuries to Watch

Miami Marlins

09/25/15 P Jarred Cosart Forearm left last start, probable for next start
08/26/15 P Kendry Flores Shoulder Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/22)
08/17/15 P David Phelps Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/16)
08/04/15 P Carter Capps Elbow Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/3); out for season
07/10/15 2B Jeff Baker Side Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (7/8)
07/01/15 RF Giancarlo Stanton Hand Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (6/21)
06/04/15 P Henderson Alvarez Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (5/22); out for season
04/14/15 3B Don Kelly Finger Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/13), out for season
04/08/15 P Aaron Crow Elbow Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/29); out for season

Tampa Bay Rays

09/23/15 P Nathan Karns Arm out for season
09/18/15 CF Desmond Jennings Knee Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/26); out for season
08/26/15 C Curt Casali Hamstring Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (8/25)
05/09/15 P Alex Cobb Forearm Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (3/27), out for season
04/29/15 P Kirby Yates Pectoral Injury is on the 15 day disabled list (4/29)
04/18/15 P Jeff Beliveau Shoulder Injury is on the 60 day disabled list (4/22), out for season

Guy's Pick: Take the Rays

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